The HAMISH_MCTAVISH 2012 Predictions Thread

JonnyBravo

But as others have pointed out Hamish.... the QE line of yours doesnt contain a prediction at all. You say there's a 50/50 chance of it happening or not. So whatever happens you say you were right?
A bit like the talk around whether gold/silver crashed. Sure they crashed during the year, but lots of that was offset by the gains. As DervProf says.... what's the point if you cant mark your predictions without bias?

Wheezy_2

House Prices: +2%

Rent prices: +4%

Economy: Q1 and Q2 flat (0 to 0.5%), Q3 +1%, Q4 +1.5%

Base rates: up to 1% in October 2012

Inflation: 3%

QE: No

Unemployment: Will peak at 2.8M round summer, 2.5M by year end

Eurozone: Stays intact, including Greece

Politics: More of the same from the coalition and Labour will dump Ed Miliband in autumn.

Gold and Silver: between -80 and +80%

geneer

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

And as always in these threads, we have a great deal of sniping from the sidelines by those not brave enough to make their own predictions.

Feel free to contribute your predictions on the following:

House Prices:

Rent prices:

Economy:

Base rates:

Inflation:

QE:

Unemployment:

Eurozone:

Politics:

Gold and Silver:

Predictions?

Like: The goverment will prefer positive spin.

Really?

Thats a prediction?

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

JonnyBravo wrote: »

But as others have pointed out Hamish.... the QE line of yours doesnt contain a prediction at all. You say there's a 50/50 chance of it happening or not.

Well, that's the way I see it.

There's no point making an assertion one way or the other when it's such a closely balanced thing.

So whatever happens you say you were right?

Nope. It's 50/50.... Can't really claim to be right or wrong.

A bit like the talk around whether gold/silver crashed. Sure they crashed during the year, but lots of that was offset by the gains. As DervProf says.... what's the point if you cant mark your predictions without bias?

Oh !!!!!!.....

Silver has been falling for 9 months, and is now 44% below peak!!!

There is simply no other way to describe that than as a crash.

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

geneer wrote: »

Predictions?

Like: The goverment will prefer positive spin.

Really?

Thats a prediction?

Well bring on your predictions geneer.....

Or do you plan on just continuing to sit on the sidelines and snipe troll.:)

geneer

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

Well bring on your predictions geneer.....

Or do you plan on just continuing to sit on the sidelines and snipe troll.:)

Well, I predict the sky will be blue, the sea will remain salt water, and theres a 50:50 chance of Aliens landing next year.

So I'm sticking my neck out at least as far as you are. :rotfl:

HAMISH_MCTAVISH

geneer wrote: »

Well, I predict the sky will be blue, the sea will remain salt water, and theres a 50:50 chance of Aliens landing next year.

Endless trolling of others, but you don't have the courage of your convictions when asked to make a direct prediction. Instead preferring to attack those who do.

Not that I expected anything better, mind, but it does highlight just how much of a troll you are.

domcastro

House Prices: +4%

Rent prices: +2.5%

Economy: weak growth

Base rates: 0.75% this time next year

Inflation: 3.8%

QE: No

Unemployment: Don't know

Eurozone: Stays intact, including Greece

Politics: More of the same but the coalition gaining in popularity

Gold and Silver: Don't know

geneer

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

Endless trolling of others, but you don't have the courage of your convictions when asked to make a direct prediction. Instead preferring to attack those who do.

Not that I expected anything better, mind, but it does highlight just how much of a troll you are.

I'll let you know when I see a direct prediction Hamish.

You may choose to characterise analysis of the true scope of your predictions as "trolling", but I prefer to think of it as analysis of the true scope of your predictions.

JonnyBravo

geneer wrote: »

I'll let you know when I see a direct prediction Hamish.

You may choose to characterise analysis of the true scope of your predictions as "trolling", but I prefer to think of it as analysis of the true scope of your predictions.

It's quite clear some of his other points do have a "direct prediction".