Debate House Prices


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Rightmove October 2011 +2.8%

reweird
reweird Posts: 281 Forumite
edited 16 October 2011 at 11:41PM in Debate House Prices & the Economy
Gosh this crash is speeding up. At this rate the man-babies will still be living under mummy's roof well into their 30's.
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Comments

  • National rise of 2.8% (£6,533) in new sellers’ asking prices masks two-tier UK property market

    Asking prices in the south rise by 4.7% to set new records while the north falls back 0.7% to levels first achieved over six years ago in May 2005

    Average property prices in the south (£336,743) are now more than double those in the north (£164,347)

    Highest mortgage approvals since November 2009, indicating a slight easing in the mortgage famine, with low-rate deals likely to help home movers in the deposit-rich south while public sector job losses hit prices in the north
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Sibley
    Sibley Posts: 1,557 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary Combo Breaker
    A rise in any of the index's is good news.
    What we don't need to see are any type of falls that will give the HPC gang hope.

    They will be sick with this news.
    Home owners and sellers only want to this these type of stories and totally blank bad news.
    We don't do house price reductions for anyone
    We love Sarah O Grady
  • Pimperne1
    Pimperne1 Posts: 2,177 Forumite
    They definitely do not like this over on HPC. Over 750 views already and the posters are unanimous that the figures are wrong (but for a wide variety of reasons). Let's face it Rightmove figures are generally a pretty poor indicator of where prices are actually going - I don't know why they don't just ignore them (Land Registry for me).
  • Sibley wrote: »
    A rise in any of the index's is good news.

    Well, sort of.

    This index rose markedly around this time last year as well, but the actual sold price indices show prices have indeed fallen very slightly since this time last year, to the tune of between 0.6% and 2.5% or so as a national average.

    But even those figures mask the reality, which is that for most people in most places, prices are neither rising or falling.

    As both the RICS and Hometrack indices show, prices are only falling in around 35% of areas in the UK, and very mildly in most of those.

    Prices are stable in around 55% of areas, and rising in around 10% of areas.

    Basically a few mostly Northern England areas with significant falls are skewing the national indices downwards. But for most people in most places prices are stable or rising.

    Unsurprisingly, the very few areas with significant price falls are those hit the worst by unemployment and business failure, and just like in the last couple of recessions, it's the former industrial towns in the North getting hit the hardest.

    Something to bear in mind next time one of the crashaholics gloats about falling prices.:cool:
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker

    Asking prices in the south rise by 4.7% to set new records

    Of delusion.

    See Hamish now likes this index again! ;)
  • Mallotum_X
    Mallotum_X Posts: 2,591 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    So the gap between asking prices and sold prices increased again this month. Those selling prices must be hurting some.
  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Mallotum_X wrote: »
    So the gap between asking prices and sold prices increased again this month. Those selling prices must be hurting some.

    Why has the Gap increased if prices go up, surely it is basically the same as a percentage but more expensive in nominal terms for the buyer?

    Last month
    £100,000 asking price. 92% achieved = £92,000

    This month
    £102,800 asking Price. 92% achieved = £94,576

    Unless the % achieved has changed the cost is higher?
  • Mallotum_X
    Mallotum_X Posts: 2,591 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    Really2 wrote: »
    Why has the Gap increased if prices go up, surely it is basically the same as a percentage but more expensive in nominal terms for the buyer?

    Last month
    £100,000 asking price. 92% achieved = £92,000

    This month
    £102,800 asking Price. 92% achieved = £94,576

    Unless the % achieved has changed the cost is higher?


    I guess you must have missed the continued falling prices on the various Index reports this month?
  • Really2
    Really2 Posts: 12,397 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 17 October 2011 at 9:32AM
    Mallotum_X wrote: »
    I guess you must have missed the continued falling prices on the various Index reports this month?

    I would say it would have been hard for a house listed this month to be sold last month personally?

    Asking prices are not a great indicator of housing cost, but they are a forward looking indicator where house sold prices (LR is the only on I think that uses actual sold prices) are backward looking.

    The Gap is always the percentage of asking prices, so percentage achieved has got to fall for the gap to increase. Did asking prices not fall months ago? could that not mean the gap is still about the same (lower asking prices meant lower house prices?)

    We will see what increasing asking prices mean in 3 months or so, it could mean prices rise or the price achieved falls.
    But you cant say the gap has increased on this months asking price data as you don't have the sales data.
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