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UK Stockmarket 2009 and beyond

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  • tonygee_3
    tonygee_3 Posts: 432 Forumite
    I believe its best to own shares, not bonds or cash.
    Short term(since end of APRIL)CASH is KING (also less stress!)but best to start dripping in to FTSE100 bluechips, leave falling knives until a sign markets turning the corner,that includes anything Mediterranean;)
  • sabretoothtigger
    sabretoothtigger Posts: 10,036 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Combo Breaker
    edited 9 May 2010 at 4:46PM
    I think the main danger or fear element rests within currency.

    Im not a forex guy and really its tied in with politics but for any big fall the influence will come from these markets because the big investors are international.

    America and UK are net lenders, we spend all our money not invest it on average. So the big money must be external and is probably watching currency weakness alot I think hence why people get so enthusiastic about gold

    Heres an cnbc video from yesterday that mentions it http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCcjvrAwpxs

    ftse100daily07may10hs78.png
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ZxBsqXLKJc


    5 May 2010



    I remember reading PetroPavlovsk's accounts perhaps five years ago. Emblazoned across a single page was the large letter legend "1,000,000 ounces by 2009". Well, I always knew Peter Hambro was a salesman/schmoozer (although, as a gold bull, he was clearly on the right horse) but I reckoned that this banner was open to doubt either as a target or as an expression of wisdom. Now we know: it was just salesmanship. Yesterday Petro tanked on rumours that the quarter just gone by has seen a catastrophic drop in production - way below the annual target. Was it the weather (as reported)? Or was it the ore body? I do not know but I still think that PetroPavlovsk warrants (POGW) are a short - now 59p bid.

    May 7th
    I bought back Petropavlovsk warrants (POGW) at 45p since it was pointed out to me that given that there would be negligible conversion to fully paid shares on or by 9th June the board would be bound to extend the life of the warrant for another year. Whilst I myself doubt that a theoretical value for the warrant with the shares at 1075p exceeds 45p I decided to reflect upon the fact that the market might well go loopy and regard the warrant as a cheap exposure to gold mining majors. It aint logical but it could happen.


    POG also has an iron ore division they bought back in the depths when people said the world would go backwards for 3 years because of wall street.
    Since steel has been making a general recovery I cant see there needs to be that much fear of a great pog price fall apart from the general deleveraging prospect.

    As a russian miner the price already contains alot of fear relativity I think



    Has anyone here taken an interest in ABG ? Two gold mines in the FTSE now and bhp, etc
  • turbobob
    turbobob Posts: 1,500 Forumite
    I don't like your chart STT, but it could be the way it goes! A big loan package looks to be agreed following the emergency EU meeting - http://preview.bloomberg.com/news/2010-05-08/eu-finance-chiefs-race-to-ready-emergency-fund-before-asian-markets-open.html Will have to see how this pans out, but this is not the end of it.

    Could we possibly have an up day tomorrow? S&P E-mini futures opened up 18 points at 1125 - http://uk.quote.com/us/futures/chart.action?s=ES+M0&chartUi.period=V&chartUi.bardensity=LOW&chartUi.studies=EMA%284%2C9%2C18%29%3B&chartUi.bartype=CANDLE&chartUi.size=620x300&chartUi.minutes=15 Euro/dollar jumped up about 1% tonight.
  • Stavros_3
    Stavros_3 Posts: 1,288 Forumite
    WOW!!!!!!!!!!, what a start to the week
    Liquidity is when you look at your investment portfolio and **** your pants
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Stavros wrote: »
    WOW!!!!!!!!!!, what a start to the week

    Yes, poor old BP, pity they have not been invited to the party.
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    lvader wrote: »
    Sold BP @560, bought Barclays 289, sold again @297. Few!

    Not sure if that is lucky or unlucky.
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • Old_Slaphead
    Old_Slaphead Posts: 2,749 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    StevieJ wrote: »
    Yes, poor old BP, pity they have not been invited to the party.

    After a depressing weekend I'll settle for one oil stain on my portfolio this morning :)
  • wombat42_2
    wombat42_2 Posts: 1,312 Forumite
    edited 10 May 2010 at 10:06AM
    sabretoothtigger - i invest in Investec Global Gold which includes ABG as a holding:
    http://www.h-l.co.uk/funds/fund-discounts,-prices--and--factsheets/search-results/i/investec-global-gold-accumulation

    it has a nice Palladium ETF holding as well (up 5.23% today at present)
  • JamesU
    JamesU Posts: 1,060 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    StevieJ wrote: »
    Not sure if that is lucky or unlucky.

    More like gambling?;)
  • JamesU
    JamesU Posts: 1,060 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    StevieJ wrote: »
    I think the markets are more concerned with Greece than the composition of the UK govt.

    Yes, [STRIKE]I think[/STRIKE] UK politics is just a sideshow compared to the problems with sovereign debt in Europe as a whole. :)
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