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Nationwide: prices down 1.4% in October, down 14.6% since last year

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Comments

  • poppy10_2
    poppy10_2 Posts: 6,588 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper

    Latest figures released from the RoSEA are for September.
    September 2008 = £169,072
    June 2008 = £174,699

    3 month difference = -3.22%, not -9.1% as calculated by Lloyds.

    The quarterly decline is the average price during the third quarter (July-Sep 2008) minus the average price in the second quarter (April-June 2008)
    poppy10
  • poppy10 wrote: »
    The quarterly decline is the average price during the third quarter (July-Sep 2008) minus the average price in the second quarter (April-June 2008)

    Well in this case, the price went up :confused:

    RoSEA average April - June = £173,475
    RoSEA average July - September = £175458

    Or a 1.14% increase :confused:

    Check for yourself at http://www.ros.gov.uk/productsandservices/lpd_stats.html
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
  • dopester
    dopester Posts: 4,890 Forumite
    Do you ever look at the wider economic picture ISTL?

    I mean beyond all these spreadsheets from Nationwide, Halifax? These institutions couldn't even forecast anywhere near the severity of the falls we've already had in the past 10 months.

    I notice RBS is shedding 3000 jobs with perhaps more to come. :(
  • dopester wrote: »
    Do you ever look at the wider economic picture ISTL?

    I mean beyond all these spreadsheets from Nationwide, Halifax? These institutions couldn't even forecast anywhere near the severity of the falls we've already had in the past 10 months.

    I notice RBS is shedding 3000 jobs with perhaps more to come. :(

    I do Dopester, and I don't need you telling me every 3 posts.
    If you read my post, I used RoSEA figures not Halifax or Nationwide.

    I was also pointing out that the point poppy10 made would actually show house prices rising in Aberdeen where I have already shown they are dropping.

    Now stop arguing for the sake or arguing and try to read and understand the posts
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
  • dopester wrote: »
    I notice RBS is shedding 3000 jobs with perhaps more to come. :(

    You seem to gloat too much on unemployment figures, but regarding the RBS latest announcement. Did you only read the headlines or read the story?

    Here's a link to the bbc news report
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7728596.stm
    The positions will go in its global banking and markets workforce, spanning more than 50 countries. Jobs are likely to go in the City of London.

    It is understood the bank's High Street operations, and those of subsidiary NatWest, will be unaffected.

    They employ 170,000, thus 3,00 represents a 1.76% percentage. Hardly surprising that a financial institution will trim costs when there is a credit crunch going around is it.

    You've been caught out again by the sensationalising of journalism.
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
  • dopester
    dopester Posts: 4,890 Forumite
    Now stop arguing for the sake or arguing and try to read and understand the posts

    Yes; sorry about that. I will re-read your posts above.
  • poppy10_2
    poppy10_2 Posts: 6,588 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Well in this case, the price went up :confused:

    RoSEA average April - June = £173,475
    RoSEA average July - September = £175458

    Or a 1.14% increase :confused:

    Check for yourself at http://www.ros.gov.uk/productsandservices/lpd_stats.html

    The story I quoted was based on the Lloyds TSB figures, whereas you are using the government RoS figures. Like the Land Registry data in England, this lags by several months (Land Registry was still year on year positive in July this year, whereas Halifax/Nationwide had gone negative in April)

    Add the fact that Scotland as a whole has been lagging the rest of the UK in terms of the house price boom and subsequent bust, and you have your answer. No need to be :confused:. Just wait 6 months and enjoy the carnage.
    poppy10
  • poppy10 wrote: »
    The story I quoted was based on the Lloyds TSB figures, whereas you are using the government RoS figures. Like the Land Registry data in England, this lags by several months (Land Registry was still year on year positive in July this year, whereas Halifax/Nationwide had gone negative in April)

    Add the fact that Scotland as a whole has been lagging the rest of the UK in terms of the house price boom and subsequent bust, and you have your answer. No need to be :confused:. Just wait 6 months and enjoy the carnage.

    You responded to my RoSEA figures saying the following: -
    poppy10 wrote: »
    The quarterly decline is the average price during the third quarter (July-Sep 2008) minus the average price in the second quarter (April-June 2008)

    I used the RoSEA figures for that period, so no lag issues.
    Stats is a wonderful thing depending on how you utilise them ;)
    :wall:
    What we've got here is....... failure to communicate.
    Some men you just can't reach.
    :wall:
  • MrDT
    MrDT Posts: 951 Forumite
    You seem to gloat too much on unemployment figures, but regarding the RBS latest announcement. Did you only read the headlines or read the story?

    Here's a link to the bbc news report
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7728596.stm

    They employ 170,000, thus 3,00 represents a 1.76% percentage. Hardly surprising that a financial institution will trim costs when there is a credit crunch going around is it.

    You've been caught out again by the sensationalising of journalism.

    Almost two thirds of these jobs are in the UK. I suppose the 3000 jobs might be cut from operations in countries outside the UK only, but I kinda got the feeling that a couple of thou more brits would be claiming jobseekers soon.

    Couple of thousand is a tiny percentage of the population, I know. An awful lot of companies are dropping a thousand here and a thousand there recently though aren't they? I'm sure it all adds up.
  • dopester
    dopester Posts: 4,890 Forumite
    MrDT wrote: »
    Couple of thousand is a tiny percentage of the population, I know. An awful lot of companies are dropping a thousand here and a thousand there recently though aren't they? I'm sure it all adds up.

    And as someone here reminded me the other day, there is also the "fear-factor" of unemployment - not knowing if you could be up for the chop as economic conditions continue to deteriorate - bringing about a the mindset to save in order to get a financial cushion, and further hitting disposable spending in the economy.
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