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Premium Bond Winner ?

18098108128148151096

Comments

  • eskbanker
    eskbanker Posts: 38,085 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    mandarin6 said:
    Not sure I agree about how the numbers are drawn. NSI state each month before the draw we increase the range to include those numbers eligible for that months draw. Namely those numbers issued by that months draw. Therefore not as random as you think, someone is inputting information into E5.
    The actual random number generation is separate from the mapping to published bond numbers, as explained on the previously-linked page:
    The behaviour of photons fired through ERNIE 5’s system produces a series of binary outputs, which, like its forebears, are matched with other sensors to generate the Bond numbers that customers are familiar with.
    but the fact that the mapping needs to be updated according to the bonds in circulation doesn't mean that the draw is any less random, if that's what you're trying to argue!
  • I had to look. Ernie 4 ran from April  2004 to February 2019, checking against my databse of numbers, which goes back to January 2011, I checked the Ernie 4 drawn numbers:

    Most frequently drawn letter range is BQ, drawn 453,024 times.
    PP comes in at position 293, drawn  390,184 times.
    Least frequently drawn is ZN, drawn 360,514 times.

    Doing the whole range I have :
    Most frequently drawn letter range is LG, drawn 814,690 times.
    PP comes in at position 268, drawn  732,892 times.
    Least frequently drawn is still ZN, drawn 687,406 times.

    Luckily I don't have any ZN's :)



  • ForumUser7
    ForumUser7 Posts: 2,529 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Third Anniversary Photogenic Name Dropper
    I had to look. Ernie 4 ran from April  2004 to February 2019, checking against my databse of numbers, which goes back to January 2011, I checked the Ernie 4 drawn numbers:

    Most frequently drawn letter range is BQ, drawn 453,024 times.
    PP comes in at position 293, drawn  390,184 times.
    Least frequently drawn is ZN, drawn 360,514 times.

    Doing the whole range I have :
    Most frequently drawn letter range is LG, drawn 814,690 times.
    PP comes in at position 268, drawn  732,892 times.
    Least frequently drawn is still ZN, drawn 687,406 times.

    Luckily I don't have any ZN's :)



    That’s really interesting!

    whereabouts is AE please?
    If you want me to definitely see your reply, please tag me @forumuser7 Thank you.

    N.B. (Amended from Forum Rules): You must investigate, and check several times, before you make any decisions or take any action based on any information you glean from any of my content, as nothing I post is advice, rather it is personal opinion and is solely for discussion purposes. I research before my posts, and I never intend to share anything that is misleading, misinforming, or out of date, but don't rely on everything you read. Some of the information changes quickly, is my own opinion or may be incorrect. Verify anything you read before acting on it to protect yourself because you are responsible for any action you consequently make... DYOR, YMMV etc.
  • I had to look. Ernie 4 ran from April  2004 to February 2019, checking against my databse of numbers, which goes back to January 2011, I checked the Ernie 4 drawn numbers:

    Most frequently drawn letter range is BQ, drawn 453,024 times.
    PP comes in at position 293, drawn  390,184 times.
    Least frequently drawn is ZN, drawn 360,514 times.

    Doing the whole range I have :
    Most frequently drawn letter range is LG, drawn 814,690 times.
    PP comes in at position 268, drawn  732,892 times.
    Least frequently drawn is still ZN, drawn 687,406 times.

    Luckily I don't have any ZN's :)



    That’s really interesting!

    whereabouts is AE please?
    If I had to guess.... somewhere between LG and PP
  • pbcpdeveloper
    pbcpdeveloper Posts: 121 Forumite
    Fifth Anniversary 100 Posts
    edited 27 March 2023 at 8:55PM

    That’s really interesting!

    whereabouts is AE please?
    Oh boy, here we go :) ....AE is 18th (out of 529)


  • Good luck everyone!
  • vickyholly
    vickyholly Posts: 167 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    edited 3 April 2023 at 10:04AM
    Did i dream it , or did i read a few months ago that your odds of winning are higher at 30k than 50 k?
  • RG2015
    RG2015 Posts: 6,094 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Did i dream it , or did i read a few months ago that your odds of winning are higher at 30k than 50 k?
    Every bond has the same chance of winning so the more bonds you hold the greater the chance of winning.
  • cymruchris
    cymruchris Posts: 5,562 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Did i dream it , or did i read a few months ago that your odds of winning are higher at 30k than 50 k?

    You dreamt it yes... The more you hold - the greater the chance.
  • TadleyBaggie
    TadleyBaggie Posts: 6,752 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Strangely, over the last few months I've won considerably more (holding 30K) than my wife who had 50K. Must just be a quirk.
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