Stock Market Predictions 2024

[Deleted User]

Hello all,

Does anyone want to make some predictions on what will happen in 2024? I know it's a fool's errand but just a bit of fun really! We can come back in a year and see if anyone was right!

How will the following markets do?

1. Global
   
2. USA
   
3. UK
   
4. Emerging markets (India, China, Mexico)

DoublePolaroid

No predictions but I did just watch this video by Ramin of Pensioncraft which covers this subject and is worth a watch for some for educational value.

masonic

Vanguard's current predictions for 10 year returns can be found here: https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/corporatesite/us/en/corp/vemo/vemo-return-forecasts.html and the market outlook for 2024 here: https://www.vanguard.co.uk/professional/vanguard-economic-and-market-outlook

I wonder if anyone is going to predict an 80% crash this year...

Stargunner

masonic said:

Vanguard's current predictions for 10 year returns can be found here: https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/corporatesite/us/en/corp/vemo/vemo-return-forecasts.html and the market outlook for 2024 here: https://www.vanguard.co.uk/professional/vanguard-economic-and-market-outlook

I wonder if anyone is going to predict an 80% crash this year...

I doubt it, considering that there has never been an 80% drop in the stock market in a year in its history.

Although, from memory I think that there was someone on here predicting that it would drop by that amount around a year ago. 

Alistair31

China takes/attempts to take Taiwan as the U.S. is distracted choosing between two numpties in an election, at a time when armaments and munition stock piles are low as a result of sustained assistance to Ukraine and Isreal. Obviously this would not be pretty for markets. 

boingy

I predict that all of the predictions will be wrong.

dunstonh

Does anyone want to make some predictions on what will happen in 2024?

No. Predicting the unpredictable just makes you look silly when something you couldnt predict happens and it goes the other way.

How will the following markets do?

1. Global
   
2. USA
   
3. UK
   
4. Emerging markets (India, China, Mexico)

I would say it will either be up or down.

quirkydeptless

I reckon there will be a roaring boom for 5 years. The roaring 20s they'll call it. Not sure what'll happen after that

Dunston checks his phone.

"Sorry ladies. Got to go. Someone needs my help on Money Saving Expert!"

sevenhills

In 2024, entire economies will start to change due to the success of weight loss drugs, there will be winners like airlines (skinnier passengers use less fuel). I am sure others can suggest other winners

Ciprico

Interest rates start to fall...

People sell MMF and pile back into equity

Equity rises.

Ditto for the gilts maturing in early 2025. (The last of the 5%+ gilts)...

Hoenir

[Deleted User] said:

How will the following markets do?

1. Global
   
2. USA
   
3. UK
   
4. Emerging markets (India, China, Mexico)

Financially the world is now highly interlinked. Purely from a UK perspective returns may well be determined more by currency movements rather than by actual domestic economy performances.