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Economy crash =/= stock market crash?

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  • Type_45
    Type_45 Posts: 1,723 Forumite
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    edited 14 June 2022 at 8:28AM
    masonic said:

    The 1940s all the way out to 1970 market a torrid period for the gold price, but that period was one of very different economic circumstances, so I'd be hesitant to even draw comparison to today.
    Lyn Alden is referring not to gold in the 1940s comparison with the 2020s, but to the macro economy.

    She says, among other things, that we have wartime-like spending (Covid).  Just did a quick search on YouTube and found this 8 minute clip of her talking about it:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BFa6etRCIog
  • Type_45
    Type_45 Posts: 1,723 Forumite
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    Bitcoin in a slow freefall. Now £18,328.

    If it goes below £5,000 I will buy one. 
  • masonic
    masonic Posts: 27,347 Forumite
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    Type_45 said:
    masonic said:

    The 1940s all the way out to 1970 market a torrid period for the gold price, but that period was one of very different economic circumstances, so I'd be hesitant to even draw comparison to today.
    Lyn Alden is referring not to gold in the 1940s comparison with the 2020s, but to the macro economy.

    She says, among other things, that we have wartime-like spending (Covid).  Just did a quick search on YouTube and found this 8 minute slip of her talking about it:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BFa6etRCIog

    Seems like she is advocating the way out being to hold down rates, put up with inflation, and grow the economy / inflate the debt down. Quite different to the approach currently being taken, and one that overall was good for equities.
  • Zola.
    Zola. Posts: 2,204 Forumite
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    masonic said:
    Type_45 said:
    masonic said:

    The 1940s all the way out to 1970 market a torrid period for the gold price, but that period was one of very different economic circumstances, so I'd be hesitant to even draw comparison to today.
    Lyn Alden is referring not to gold in the 1940s comparison with the 2020s, but to the macro economy.

    She says, among other things, that we have wartime-like spending (Covid).  Just did a quick search on YouTube and found this 8 minute slip of her talking about it:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BFa6etRCIog

    Seems like she is advocating the way out being to hold down rates, put up with inflation, and grow the economy / inflate the debt down. Quite different to the approach currently being taken, and one that overall was good for equities.
    Should be called out that Lyn Alden is a massive bitcoin bull. But I do enjoy her analysis and writing. 
  • masonic
    masonic Posts: 27,347 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Zola. said:
    masonic said:
    Type_45 said:
    masonic said:

    The 1940s all the way out to 1970 market a torrid period for the gold price, but that period was one of very different economic circumstances, so I'd be hesitant to even draw comparison to today.
    Lyn Alden is referring not to gold in the 1940s comparison with the 2020s, but to the macro economy.

    She says, among other things, that we have wartime-like spending (Covid).  Just did a quick search on YouTube and found this 8 minute slip of her talking about it:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BFa6etRCIog

    Seems like she is advocating the way out being to hold down rates, put up with inflation, and grow the economy / inflate the debt down. Quite different to the approach currently being taken, and one that overall was good for equities.
    Should be called out that Lyn Alden is a massive bitcoin bull. But I do enjoy her analysis and writing. 
    I had noticed that when I took a look at her blog. She has an engineering background, so I can understand how she could be attracted to the technology. There seems to be plenty of other content there, and it is quite data rich.
  • Type_45
    Type_45 Posts: 1,723 Forumite
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    FTSE 100 back in the red. Could be a long day.
  • Zola.
    Zola. Posts: 2,204 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Thanks for the daily updates on the doom.
  • Zola.
    Zola. Posts: 2,204 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xguam0TKMw8&t=2s

    Worth a watch at this time, paints a clear picture of the potential US decline v rise of China.
    - Rise in populism
    - Cracks in democracy
    - Loss of productivity
    - Money printing
    - Culture war
  • Type_45
    Type_45 Posts: 1,723 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    After yesterday's carnage, some respite today of sorts.

    FTSE 100 closes 0.25% down.

    SPY currently 0.12% down.


    Interest rate decision tomorrow in the US...
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