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Has the dead cat finished bouncing?

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  • Prism said:
    Prism said:
    I think it will go up from here - I imagine I'm looking for at least a 100% gain from this point.
    Warren Buffet thinks its going down and so do I:


    You realise that Warren Buffet article is referring to 2001? To be clear, I was talking about the standard 5-10 year equities investment time. Everything else is just noise
    No it's not 2001, it's right now; just google it. (the article was from late yesterday; do pay attention)
    "On Thursday, the indicator was reported to have reached a historic 179% as the market rebounded from the coronavirus sell-off, well above the average reading of 107% over the past 20 years.

    It has a strong history of predicting when the market may fall. Before the 2008 financial crisis, the indicator capped 100%."


    The FED can only prop up the market so much; take care.



  • kinger101
    kinger101 Posts: 6,572 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 1 May 2020 at 10:31PM
    Prism said:
    Prism said:
    I think it will go up from here - I imagine I'm looking for at least a 100% gain from this point.
    Warren Buffet thinks its going down and so do I:


    You realise that Warren Buffet article is referring to 2001? To be clear, I was talking about the standard 5-10 year equities investment time. Everything else is just noise
    No it's not 2001, it's right now; just google it. (the article was from late yesterday; do pay attention)
    "On Thursday, the indicator was reported to have reached a historic 179% as the market rebounded from the coronavirus sell-off, well above the average reading of 107% over the past 20 years.

    It has a strong history of predicting when the market may fall. Before the 2008 financial crisis, the indicator capped 100%."


    The FED can only prop up the market so much; take care.



    But your post stated that Warren Buffet thinks the market is going down.  Nowhere in that article does it state what Warren Buffet's opinion is on where the market is going now.  It's just an indicator he thought was the best single indicator in 2001.  

    He may think the market is headed southward, but that article simply doesn't have any proof he does.
    "Real knowledge is to know the extent of one's ignorance" - Confucius
  • Prism
    Prism Posts: 3,847 Forumite
    Seventh Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Prism said:
    Prism said:
    I think it will go up from here - I imagine I'm looking for at least a 100% gain from this point.
    Warren Buffet thinks its going down and so do I:


    You realise that Warren Buffet article is referring to 2001? To be clear, I was talking about the standard 5-10 year equities investment time. Everything else is just noise
    No it's not 2001, it's right now; just google it. (the article was from late yesterday; do pay attention)
    "On Thursday, the indicator was reported to have reached a historic 179% as the market rebounded from the coronavirus sell-off, well above the average reading of 107% over the past 20 years.

    It has a strong history of predicting when the market may fall. Before the 2008 financial crisis, the indicator capped 100%."


    The FED can only prop up the market so much; take care.



    I'm keeping up very well thanks :) . The article certainly did come out yesterday and used a quote from Warren Buffett from 2001. It made no claims about his current thinking but unfortunately you misinterpreted it. 
    I guess we shall hear a little more about what Warren Buffett thinks tomorrow but to be honest, apart from the fact he is an interesting guy, whatever he says has no bearing on what I will be doing - which is continuing like normal.
  • vitamin_joe
    vitamin_joe Posts: 652 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 500 Posts Photogenic Combo Breaker
    edited 2 May 2020 at 1:07AM
    Prism said:
    I think it will go up from here - I imagine I'm looking for at least a 100% gain from this point.
    Warren Buffet thinks its going down and so do I:


    I agree with you and Warren Buffett ;) (or Warren Buffett's indicator)

    I think it's going down in a big way- if not next week, then soon.  
  • SharpShooter
    SharpShooter Posts: 76 Forumite
    Seventh Anniversary 10 Posts Combo Breaker
    If you watch youtube videos, the guys on there will tell you a new low is coming. I have a theory that all of these guys are shorting the market, and having missed out on the breakneck speed of the drop, are now desperate to recover some losses and praying in hope for a new low.

    I dont believe a new low is coming. But I believe it will bounce around10% form the low and high of the markets.
  • Bravepants
    Bravepants Posts: 1,640 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Who needs a dead cat when Elon Musk tweets that Tesla shares are overvalued.......... an investors worst nightmare. 
    Other CEO's quite rightly keep their personal views to themselves. 
    I often wonder what's on earth is it with Musk's self-destructive leanings.

    If you want to be rich, live like you're poor; if you want to be poor, live like you're rich.
  • blue_max_3
    blue_max_3 Posts: 1,194 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker

    I often wonder what's on earth is it with Musk's self-destructive leanings.

    Perhaps he wants to buy some more of his shares cheap! A fool he is not.
  • Yellowvest23
    Yellowvest23 Posts: 79 Forumite
    10 Posts First Anniversary
    edited 2 May 2020 at 12:51PM
    https://www.longtermtrends.net/price-earnings-ratio/

    and once the next quarters  earnings(or lack of) are published that graph will be going way north into extreme bubble territory. 

  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic

    I often wonder what's on earth is it with Musk's self-destructive leanings.

    Perhaps he wants to buy some more of his shares cheap! A fool he is not.
    Bezos has the right idea. Cash in a $1bn worth of stock every year while the goings good. 
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