Brexit, the economy and house prices (Part 3)

mayonnaise

A_Medium_Size_Jock wrote: »

Another post in a lighter vein - and another from the Express for the video: Tusk heads the wrong way after his Downing Street speech.
Awkward.
:doh:

Hilarious.
He went to the right and should have gone to the left. :rotfl:
Surely another sign the EU is about to collapse.

antrobus

buglawton wrote: »

Assuming the lions share will be charged overnight and under smart demand based tariffs, I'm not at all convinced of that statement.

Scottish Power says that the UK needs 25% more capacity.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-business-41373466

A move to EVs and rapid charging would also require upgrading local networks.

gfplux

A_Medium_Size_Jock wrote: »

Yes.
Plenty.
And your summation is incorrect.

Why am I not surprised.
Could you explain as you know a lot of civil servants, if they enjoy moving rapidly from department to department.

System

According to Civil Service World (thanks google) the average staff turnover rate in the civil service is 9.1% so it's not too controversial to suggest 20% is high (that's 20% in 14 months not 12 months).

So in 14 months from a standing start they've recruited 606 staff and only have 482 of them left which is still under target. Sounds like a HR nightmare and a recipe for chaos.

Quite a few departments are seeing an increased churn and brexit is being blamed.

In the interests of balance I should say a government spokesman has said everthing's just fine.

http://civilserviceworld.com/articles/news/staff-turnover-rate-hits-35-cabinet-office

gfplux

This from today's Bloomberg's Brexit Bulletin.

"The Brexit bill might just have got even bigger.
As negotiators haggle line by line over what each side thinks Britain should pay when it leaves, the latest budget data include some unwelcome numbers. The European Union’s liabilities grew almost 4 percent in 2016, with the cost of pensions for EU officials and lawmakers rising more than 5 percent, according to budget documents obtained by Bloomberg’s Ian Wishart and Marine Strauss.
Pension costs are already one of the trickiest bits of the bill—Brexit Secretary David Davis called them “debatable” at the weekend—and the latest data will sharpen that debate. Swelling EU costs will also provide fodder for British euroskeptics who would rather Britain walked away without paying anything, and who object to Prime Minister Theresa May’s offer to keep paying into the EU budget for two years after Brexit.
Negotiators need to take into account costs that will continue to rise until then, not just current liabilities. That’s why it’s impossible to publish a final figure for the bill until the last minute. A rare piece of good news for May is that EU officials realize how difficult any sum will be for her to sell politically, and could help her disguise the true cost through a series of different type of payments. A grand total may never actually be revealed, a person familiar with the talks said.
Still, the EU has insisted that the outline of a deal on the bill needs to be reached before talks can move on to the future relationship. That looked increasingly out of reach on Tuesday as European Council President Donald Tusk—an ally of the U.K. who has said he’d like Britain to come back to the fold—said not enough progress had been made. If trade talks get pushed back to December, that leaves less than a year for a deal to be hashed out before the U.K. tumbles out."

gfplux

This story from the Guardian. It's news not an opinion piece.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/sep/27/punitive-export-tariff-placed-on-planes-made-in-northern-ireland?utm_source=esp&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=GU+Today+main+NEW+H+categories&utm_term=245390&subid=21215161&CMP=EMCNEWEML6619I2
"Theresa May is “bitterly disappointed” by a US decision to impose a punitive tariff on exports of passenger jets built by one of Northern Ireland’s biggest employers, Downing Street said.
The US Department of Commerce ruled in favour of Boeing in its legal battle with Bombardier, prompting fears in Northern Ireland that aerospace jobs in the region could be in peril."
An interim tariff of of 219.63% has been proposed on sales of Bombardier’s C-Series jet to the US airline Delta.

The Harsh reality of world trade.
This from Britains future major trading partner. America will look after America, post Brexit Britain will not get an easy ride from the USA when negotiating a new free trade deal.
Trump said Britain was at the front of the que, for what, a good slapping?

This from the BBC
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-41397181

System

I think we probably all knew the contents of Mrs. May's speech were written after some behind the scenes negotiations with both the EU and, eventually, with her cabinet colleagues.

The Telegraph in a bid to get things riled up are saying she 'took dictation' from the EU. It's a direct quote from Mr. A. Senior-Source so it must be true.

What a rag. They're probably still smarting they can't get a cabinet member to start crying their eyes out about how nasty the rest of them are.

It's a premium story so if you've got more money than sense you can read the whole lot here.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/26/theresa-may-took-dictation-brussels-keynote-eu-speech-agreed/

I'll stick to Whizzer and Chips.

A_Medium_Size_Jock

gfplux wrote: »

Why am I not surprised.
Could you explain as you know a lot of civil servants, if they enjoy moving rapidly from department to department.

What you (quelle surprise) are not seeing is the vast amount of work covered by those within the civil service.
I do indeed know quite a few at varying levels and although some stay in their post for years, others (still at varying levels, please note) have always experienced short- to medium-term assignments and as such have frequently moved rapidly from one setting to another. Especially those involved directly in tasks (as with DExEU or during enquiries for example) when needs may change rapidly and when it seems that often, short assignments are the norm.
This may help with the diversity covered under the heading "civil servant" : https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/civil-service/about

System

A_Medium_Size_Jock wrote: »

Dyson to launch electric car by 2020 "The car will count as a British export, he said, although it is likely to be assembled in the Far East. While the UK was “one frontrunner” for the production base, he added: “We’ll choose the best place to make it and that’s where we’ll make it … Wherever we make the battery, that’s where we will make the car.

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/sep/26/james-dyson-electric-car-2020

I like Dyson stuff. Owning their vacuum cleaners has allowed me to develop my skill-set and I'm now very competent in repairing them having had much practice.

Interested in his comments in bold. How can an imported car count as an export?

System

A_Medium_Size_Jock wrote: »

I do indeed know quite a few at varying levels and although some stay in their post for years, others (still at varying levels, please note) have always experienced short- to medium-term assignments and as such have frequently moved rapidly from one setting to another. Especially those involved directly in tasks (as with DExEU or during enquiries for example) when needs may change rapidly and when it seems that often, short assignments are the norm.

I've given you some figures Jock so we don't need to rely wholly on anecdotal data and your vast experience of...well...everything.

If average churn in the civil service is 9.1% and it's c20% in DExEU then I think it's possible for us to draw some conclusions from that especially when we know a number of senior staff have been shed amid reports that David Davis is a nightmare to work for.

This is a chap for who spending a night in Brussels during the most important negotiations for the UK since WWII represents a big deal.