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The economic consequences of a Trump US Presidential Victory?

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Comments

  • Crashy_Time
    Crashy_Time Posts: 13,386 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Seventh Anniversary Name Dropper
    Filo25 wrote: »
    I don't know if even Trump knows what he would do if he was President, never mind the rest of us.

    My suspicion remains that in spite of all the talk of helping the little guy on the economic front it would eventually just be a typical Republican agenda of slashing taxes for the rich combined with more some pretty unpleasant social rhetoric, in the short run though the markets will run scared, everyone hates uncertainty.

    Its certainly a more uncertain election that past ones as the voting demographics have changed since 2012, more white working class support for Trump, but he's lost support with pretty much all other groups.

    I suspect he will lose Florida, the Hispanic vote is unsurprisingly highly motivated this time around, and that leaves him with a mountain to climb, he will probably need a great performance in the North East/ Midwest to win it, its not impossible but it won't be easy for him.

    I might have had money on Brexit, but I won't be betting on Trump at the odds being offered.


    As someone just said on one of the US news channels though, doesn`t matter who wins, the forces that have made Trump the most spectacular US presidential candidate in history (He has NO political experience!!) don`t just evaporate after the election ends. Clinton will be a disaster if she wins, hampered by investigations and innuendo and pure hatred from the massive Trump demographic, plus her health issues. No way she will last even a term IMO.
  • SailorSam
    SailorSam Posts: 22,754 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    There are bigger things we'll need to worry about than the economy, if Donald has his finger on the red button.
    Liverpool is one of the wonders of Britain,
    What it may grow to in time, I know not what.

    Daniel Defoe: 1725.
  • Crashy_Time
    Crashy_Time Posts: 13,386 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Seventh Anniversary Name Dropper
    SailorSam wrote: »
    There are bigger things we'll need to worry about than the economy, if Donald has his finger on the red button.


    You don`t seriously believe that this guy is a bigger war-monger that Clinton do you? She is like the president in the " The Dead Zone" !!!!!!!
  • anyone who wants Hilary to win is living in the recent past. its about time it changes and i will be cheering trump through tuesday night and have put my money where my mouth backing trump on betfair

    I will be celebrating the fact that you lost money on a lost cause.

    Hilary will win.
    Nationalism is an infantile disease. It is the measles of mankind. - Albert Einstein.

    “The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them.”-

    Orwell.
  • Masomnia
    Masomnia Posts: 19,506 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    I've got a fiver on Trump too :P

    If I were American I'd hold my nose and vote HC, but I've got a hunch the 'Brexit effect' will take Trump over the line. Just.
    “I could see that, if not actually disgruntled, he was far from being gruntled.” - P.G. Wodehouse
  • SailorSam
    SailorSam Posts: 22,754 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    You don`t seriously believe that this guy is a bigger war-monger that Clinton do you? She is like the president in the " The Dead Zone" !!!!!!!

    I think if he got into an arguement with the guy from Nth Korea he couldn't help himself but show who's boss. Or if there was another attack similar to the twin towers, then all Muslims are fair game.
    Liverpool is one of the wonders of Britain,
    What it may grow to in time, I know not what.

    Daniel Defoe: 1725.
  • SailorSam
    SailorSam Posts: 22,754 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 9 November 2016 at 12:39AM
    Just heard a newsflash that a polling station in California is on lock-down 'cos there have been gun shots in it. Not sure yet about deaths/injuries if any.

    Update :
    BreakingShots fired in California


    Posted at 23:22
    A polling station in Azusa, California is on lockdown after shots were fired nearby.
    CNN is reporting that two people have been injured.
    The shooting occurred at 14:00 local in a residential neighborhood, said Officer Jerry Willison of the Azusa Police Department.
    “This is a very volatile and critical situation,” he told the LA Times, adding that the site is "“not contained".
    Liverpool is one of the wonders of Britain,
    What it may grow to in time, I know not what.

    Daniel Defoe: 1725.
  • Masomnia
    Masomnia Posts: 19,506 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    SailorSam wrote: »
    Just heard a newsflash that a polling station in California is on lock-down 'cos there have been gun shots in it. Not sure yet about deaths/injuries if any.

    Update :
    BreakingShots fired in California


    Posted at 23:22
    A polling station in Azusa, California is on lockdown after shots were fired nearby.
    CNN is reporting that two people have been injured.
    The shooting occurred at 14:00 local in a residential neighborhood, said Officer Jerry Willison of the Azusa Police Department.
    “This is a very volatile and critical situation,” he told the LA Times, adding that the site is "“not contained".

    Oh god, shots fired at a polling station you expect in Afghanistan!
    “I could see that, if not actually disgruntled, he was far from being gruntled.” - P.G. Wodehouse
  • Conrad
    Conrad Posts: 33,137 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Clinton should be good for UK plc. One of her main speech promises has been to increase corporation taxes significantly and introduce a raft of business regulation. Good old safe haven Blighty could get an I foux of investment. Note business has already been fleeing to Ireland due to relative high US taxation.
  • Filo25
    Filo25 Posts: 2,140 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 9 November 2016 at 3:17AM
    This looks like it could be a late one, Trump will probably lose on the popular vote, but he's being competitive in the swing states so this could go down to the wire.

    Just to show that I'm wrong again he looks like he will pick up Florida, Hillary needs to pick up one of Virginia or North Carolina of the Eastern States to avoid being in major trouble
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