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Selling everything when the market reaches a new all time high

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  • Glen_Clark
    Glen_Clark Posts: 4,397 Forumite
    The rally in share prices is little more than a fall in the value of the pound. I can't see the pound recovering any time soon because even if Brexit doesn't happen, the damage is done. Manufacturers won't invest if they might be on the wrong side of trade barriers in a few years time. Unskilled Immigrants will flood in now in case they are prevented in future. Obstructing Brexit would just give us the worst of both worlds. The disadvantages of Brexit without the advantages.

    So I won't be selling assets to hold £pounds
    “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” --Upton Sinclair
  • AnotherJoe
    AnotherJoe Posts: 19,622 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper Photogenic
    Glen_Clark wrote: »
    The rally in share prices is little more than a fall in the value of the pound. I can't see the pound recovering any time soon because even if Brexit doesn't happen, the damage is done. Manufacturers won't invest if they might be on the wrong side of trade barriers in a few years time. Unskilled Immigrants will flood in now in case they are prevented in future. Obstructing Brexit would just give us the worst of both worlds. The disadvantages of Brexit without the advantages.

    So I won't be selling assets to hold £pounds

    US Markets are at an all time high (nothing to do with Brexit) and the OPs question is about US markets, not UK,
  • JohnRo
    JohnRo Posts: 2,887 Forumite
    Tenth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    AnotherJoe wrote: »
    US Markets are at an all time high (nothing to do with Brexit) and the OPs question is about US markets, not UK,

    It is about the UK currency though, which has been negatively impacted by Brexit. Selling US dollar denominated assets converts them into GBP unless you have USD accounts. The question then, as alluded to by several posters is what the heck do you buy with those liberated GBP and will whatever you do decide to buy provide any better return than having just left them where they were?

    One thing to bear in mind is the cliche that when the US sneezes the rest of the world catches a cold.
    'We don't need to be smarter than the rest; we need to be more disciplined than the rest.' - WB
  • george4064
    george4064 Posts: 2,928 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    I just buy and hold, I never sell anything (only recent exception was selling a large proportion of my BKG holding a few months before the EU referendum).

    I buy in whenever I can afford to, usually buy in dips when I can, seems to be working pretty well so far.
    "If you aren’t willing to own a stock for ten years, don’t even think about owning it for ten minutes” Warren Buffett

    Save £12k in 2025 - #024 £1,450 / £15,000 (9%)
  • bigfreddiel
    bigfreddiel Posts: 4,263 Forumite
    you can never know when a new high is reached. So you will never know when to sell.

    It's as simple as that.

    Good luck, let us all know how it works out, fj
  • AnotherJoe
    AnotherJoe Posts: 19,622 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Fifth Anniversary Name Dropper Photogenic
    you can never know when a new high is reached. So you will never know when to sell.

    It's as simple as that.

    Good luck, let us all know how it works out, fj

    Eh? Of course you can.
  • jimjames
    jimjames Posts: 18,697 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    AnotherJoe wrote: »
    Eh? Of course you can.

    Without putting words in bigfrediel's mouth I'm assuming they meant that what's a new high today might not be tomorrow.
    Remember the saying: if it looks too good to be true it almost certainly is.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    60% of return has been generated by reinvesting the income over the past 15 years. If you cash in where are you going to deposit the money? Interest rates are below inflation.
  • bigfreddiel
    bigfreddiel Posts: 4,263 Forumite
    AnotherJoe wrote: »
    Eh? Of course you can.

    How exactly? So it drops by 1p from a peak, do you sell? The OPs logic says yes, the market has reached a new high and is now 1p down, so sell!

    fj
  • Superscrooge
    Superscrooge Posts: 1,171 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    The below game generates a random 10 year history of the S & P index and invites you to choose when to sell and when to buy back into the index. Whilst you can on occasions 'time the market', it is surprisingly difficult.

    http://qz.com/487013/this-game-will-show-you-just-how-foolish-it-is-to-sell-stocks-right-now/
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