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FTSE 100 predictions for 2016

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  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546
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    Linton wrote: »
    People seem to be guessing. Why not appply some investment science? After much study I have been able to develop an equation that predicts the value of the FTSE100 index at the end of each year:

    FTSE=5.1944444*x^6 - 356.3923*x^5 + 10078.5*x^4 - 150316.5*x^3 + 1246681.9*x^2 - 5449939*x+9813388.9

    where x is the last two digits of the year.

    Extensive back testing for the years 2008-2015 (30th Dec) shows that it is accurate to within 1 %. So I can confidently predict that the FTSE100 index at the end of 2016 will be 17026.

    You've overlooked the fact that next year is a leap year.
  • that formula also fails to take into account phase of the moon
  • redmalc
    redmalc Posts: 1,441
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    I will go for 6780
  • ChesterDog
    ChesterDog Posts: 1,147
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    6000, +/-1000.
    I am one of the Dogs of the Index.
  • chucknorris
    chucknorris Posts: 10,795
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    Am I the only one that thinks it might break 7,000 again?
    Chuck Norris can kill two stones with one birdThe only time Chuck Norris was wrong was when he thought he had made a mistakeChuck Norris puts the "laughter" in "manslaughter".I've started running again, after several injuries had forced me to stop
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546
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    Am I the only one that thinks it might break 7,000 again?

    20% of the FTSE 100 is dependent upon commodity stocks. Guess it depends on your view of iron ore prices etc in the coming year and the financial prospects of the companies themselves.
  • chucknorris
    chucknorris Posts: 10,795
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    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    20% of the FTSE 100 is dependent upon commodity stocks. Guess it depends on your view of iron ore prices etc in the coming year and the financial prospects of the companies themselves.

    So that leaves 80% dependent upon other things.
    Chuck Norris can kill two stones with one birdThe only time Chuck Norris was wrong was when he thought he had made a mistakeChuck Norris puts the "laughter" in "manslaughter".I've started running again, after several injuries had forced me to stop
  • bigfreddiel
    bigfreddiel Posts: 4,263 Forumite
    I can accurately predict between 4,000 and 8,000 ;)

    Actually, you're wrong, it will be just above 8,001, probably near to 8,010.

    Cheers fj
  • Sam_J12
    Sam_J12 Posts: 253 Forumite
    6706. Just wait and see.
  • LHW99
    LHW99 Posts: 5,921
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    I'll guess 5850 - I don't think commodities are coming back up too soon, and the EU hasn't solved its messes yet.
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