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Economists Urge Scotland to Vote No......

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Comments

  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    The bet for me, if the count works in favour of it, is to wait until before Glasgow and Edinburgh declare late on and lump a bet on Yes as they should be doing badly in the count.

    The when they do declare you close your position before Aberdeen declares, hopefully at a decent profit. In doing that you trade the volatility rather than predicting a result.
  • tomterm8
    tomterm8 Posts: 5,892 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    My internet just isn't reliable enough for that.
    “The ideas of debtor and creditor as to what constitutes a good time never coincide.”
    ― P.G. Wodehouse, Love Among the Chickens
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Final opinion poll by YouGov, polled today, puts the vote at 54% against independence, with 46% voting for.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”
    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    tomterm8 wrote: »
    My internet just isn't reliable enough for that.

    Shame, you can make a few bob trading volatility like that.

    Test matches are very good for it. I suspect that golf and baseball would be too.
  • chewmylegoff
    chewmylegoff Posts: 11,466 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Generali wrote: »
    The bet for me, if the count works in favour of it, is to wait until before Glasgow and Edinburgh declare late on and lump a bet on Yes as they should be doing badly in the count.

    The when they do declare you close your position before Aberdeen declares, hopefully at a decent profit. In doing that you trade the volatility rather than predicting a result.

    Your best bet would have been to lay heavily at 6/1 about half an hour ago and cash out now as Yes is currently trading 13.5/14.
  • globalds
    globalds Posts: 9,431 Forumite
    you could lay now?.

    need a hefty float
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    chewmylegoff wrote: »
    Your best bet would have been to lay heavily at 6/1 about half an hour ago and cash out now as Yes is currently trading 13.5/14.

    Huge money has gone on. There was ~£2,500,000 matched last time I looked. Now its $26,000,000! Someone thinks that they have the inside track.
  • chewmylegoff
    chewmylegoff Posts: 11,466 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Amazing that they're still relying on people to count pieces of paper. Whatever happened to the zombie robot apocalypse of ballot papers, boxes and counters.
  • globalds
    globalds Posts: 9,431 Forumite
    Generali wrote: »
    Huge money has gone on. There was ~£2,500,000 matched last time I looked. Now its $26,000,000! Someone thinks that they have the inside track.

    yeah ..decided to use my hefty float :D
  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »
    Final opinion poll by YouGov, polled today, puts the vote at 54% against independence, with 46% voting for.

    The Yougov poll was people they'd already spoken to earlier after they'd voted.

    The Yougov representative on Newsnight said he was now 99% sure of a No win.
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