Renewables: "talking 'bout my generation"

tunnel

Managed 7.7 today,would have been better but had about an hour of hazy sunshine around dinner....even rang the wife to make sure she'd got the washer on, Got to love "free leccy"(actually paid to generate leccy:D) haven't you.:beer:

Martyn1981

EricMears wrote: »

I wouldn't worry about a weather forecast for next week. Forecast will be from same people who warned us about the drought we were going to have last summer. Time to worry is when they tell us there's record sunshine expected :rotfl:

Hiya Eric. Reading your post, prompted me to 're-check' the forecast this morning. The 2 snowy days next week (Mon + Thrs) are now showing solid sun, and sunny cloud (respectively). I suspect by tonight that might have changed again. Happy to run a book on it, anyone fancy sandstorm?

Mart.

Oscargrouch

0.8 kWh for me; back to reality: "Back to life, back to reality
Back to the here and now yeah". :rotfl:

EricMears

Martyn1981 wrote: »

Hiya Eric. Reading your post, prompted me to 're-check' the forecast this morning. The 2 snowy days next week (Mon + Thrs) are now showing solid sun, and sunny cloud (respectively). I suspect by tonight that might have changed again. Happy to run a book on it, anyone fancy sandstorm? Mart.

I'm convinced the weather forecasters just type in a few random words or maybe pull out a few balls from a bingo tumbler !

Last night, all 3 of the wathr forecasts I watch were telling me today would be bright & sunny (as yesterday was but they didn't share that in advance). This morning's TV forecast assured me it would be thick fog all morning with a chance of a sunny interval this afternoon. The BBC's computer forecast more or less agreed with their TV colleagues. Metcheck suggested low cloud levels to start but increasing during day & Met Office were saying cloudy all day.

In the event, Metcheck were nearest. There was no morning fog although some high cloud diffused sunlight a bit. Cloud thickened & lowered during morning. Suspect also that frost on panels was reducing output till around 10am then we peaked at 1.5kW around noon.

Still live in hope of finding a forecast that gives me a good idea of when I can switch on the washing machine.


Then the stupid sods start trying to guess what the weather will do in 50 years time !:mad:

Anyone else spot this :-http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/9787662/Global-warming-at-a-standstill-new-Met-Office-figures-show.html

Probably just another of their computer glitches though.

k66

1.06kwh for me today, really overcast and quite disappointed.
Sunshine makes me happier, bring it on.

legoman62

3.5kWh for me today
Last 7 days have been reasonable
Still only 24kWh for Jan so, need another 21 good days to hit PVGIS:D

Martyn1981

EricMears wrote: »

I'm convinced the weather forecasters just type in a few random words or maybe pull out a few balls from a bingo tumbler !

Me too. Late Autumn 2011, I would look at the long-term forecast (7 to 9 days) and enter pretty accurate estimates of generation for the week ahead. But since 2012 the weather and reports seem just too erratic.

Next Monday has now changed from solid sun (previously snow) to rainy cloud. I'd say this is getting silly, but I suspect we passed that point some time back!

Only 1.4 yesterday, but weather looks to be getting colder and sunnier from middle of next week, fingers crossed.

Mart.

EricMears

Martyn1981 wrote: »

Next Monday has now changed from solid sun (previously snow) to rainy cloud. I'd say this is getting silly, but I suspect we passed that point some time back!
Mart.

If you give ten different forecasts for the same day, one of them has a reasonable chance (well ten times more chance than if you give only one !) of being vaguely similar to the actual outcome. Then all you need to do is delete all the wrong ones and show how good your remaining forecast was.

I still remember being told last spring that water tables were so low that it would take several years of above average rainfall to restore them to 'normal' (whatever that means). Since then we've had one year that was 'above average' - but nowhere near twice as high as average - and they're bleating that ground is so saturated (which I take to mean water tables above 'normal') that any tiny shower will result in immediate flooding.

My recommendation to anyone wanting to read a reliable weather forecast is to read a novel instead.

Oscargrouch

1.5 kWh...:easter_os Could be a 'Heat Wave' next week, so I read in a holiday brochure..

k66

2.3 kwh and I am getting good at estimating what we are producing, better get myself an anorak.