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Debate House Prices


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House Prices Only Set To Fall By Maximum 20% In Total

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Comments

  • These figures aren't just in today's newspapers and on the internet news - they were reported on the national BBC News tonight.

    They were giving FACTS and FIGURES. NOT speculation!

    And the FACT is that property has dropped just 8.9% and they expect it drop another 12% next year when it will then reach its bottom. That makes a 20% reduction from the peak.

    Of course you'll have the odd properties that were overpriced in the beginning dropping more - just as you'll have some properties only dropping by 10 or 15% in total.

    But you must admit it's good news that many homeowners are rushing to pay off their mortgages! :money: Obviously, with fewer forced sales there will be less bargains up for grabs!
  • mewbie_2
    mewbie_2 Posts: 6,058 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    All together now, it's Mewbie's Gang Show...

    "We're riding along on the crest of a slump..."
  • beingjdc
    beingjdc Posts: 1,680 Forumite
    These figures aren't just in today's newspapers and on the internet news - they were reported on the national BBC News tonight.

    They were giving FACTS and FIGURES. NOT speculation!

    And the FACT is that property has dropped just 8.9% and they expect it drop another 12% next year when it will then reach its bottom.

    How is what someone expects not speculation? :confused:

    I presume the 8.9% is the Hometrack numbers. That's one survey (and it showed lower increases during the boom, so might just be a stickier index). Others are Nationwide and Halifax, showing falls of 15-20% from the peak already, with no end in sight.
    Hurrah, now I have more thankings than postings, cheers everyone!
  • chucky wrote: »
    Ad, i wouldn't totally disregard the amount of cash still floating around ready to be invested. To be fair to your point I don't think it will go immediately into property because as you say prices will flatten out for a good while before they move upwards.

    the below link believes it will go into equities but in time will go back into property
    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601213&sid=aHYVLN8ZJtsc&refer=home

    I,m not interested apart from the fact that I will get richer,

    You all look after youselves ----if you can.
    Nationalism is an infantile disease. It is the measles of mankind. - Albert Einstein.

    “The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them.”-

    Orwell.
  • Cat695
    Cat695 Posts: 3,647 Forumite
    Airwolf1 wrote: »
    Is that mentioned on the site too? Can you provide a link please?


    yes once you click on the link in my previous post click on one of the top two...and it tells you the current average price
    If you find yourself in a fair fight, then you have failed to plan properly


    I've only ever been wrong once! and that was when I thought I was wrong but I was right
  • Cat695
    Cat695 Posts: 3,647 Forumite
    I,m not interested apart from the fact that I will get richer,

    You all look after youselves ----if you can.

    Then why come on here then?? other than make yourself look like a moron
    If you find yourself in a fair fight, then you have failed to plan properly


    I've only ever been wrong once! and that was when I thought I was wrong but I was right
  • macaque_2
    macaque_2 Posts: 2,439 Forumite
    Reports in all the newspapers today (including the News channels) say that house prices have fallen 8.9% this year and are expected to fall by another 12% in 2009 until they bottom out.

    So we're looking at 20% reductions from the peak which I suppose is about right.:money:

    The report also says that people are rushing to pay off their mortgages, so this will mean fewer distressed sales.

    Good news for present homeowners (most of them anyway) but not so good news for those waiting and hoping for the price falls that haven't materialsed.

    Here's one of the links to the report

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1102446/Homeowners-seek-cut-debt-experts-warn-house-prices-plummet-12-2009.html

    This post has such a heavy odour of troll about it and I might have been inclined to ignore it. But then again trolls are entitled to a response.

    The article is remarkably down beat; so to discover that you you were citing it as evidence of light at the end of the tunnel came as something of surprise. I was also a bit puzzled by your reference to the 20% reductions from peak. The article did not give loss projections beyond 2009.

    I would also suggest you treat all property price predictions with a healthy measure of scepticism.

    OCTOBER 2007 - So where will prices be in 12 months?

    Stuart-Lawhpmgif.ashxStuart Law

    Managing director of property investment advisers Assetz.

    Up 5-7%

    Ed-Meadhpmgif.ashxEd Mead

    Director of Douglas & Gordon Estate Agents.

    Up 1-9%

    Henry-Pryorhpmgif.ashxHenry Pryor

    CEO of property website PrimeMove.com.

    Down 15%

    John-Wriglesworthhpmgif.ashxJohn Wriglesworth

    Managing director of Wriglesworth Consultancy.

    No movement

    http://www.moneyweek.com/investments/property/are-we-heading-for-a-house-price-crash.aspx
  • Cat695
    Cat695 Posts: 3,647 Forumite
    These figures aren't just in today's newspapers and on the internet news - they were reported on the national BBC News tonight.

    They were giving FACTS and FIGURES. NOT speculation!

    And the FACT is that property has dropped just 8.9% and they expect it drop another 12% next year when it will then reach its bottom. That makes a 20% reduction from the peak.

    Of course you'll have the odd properties that were overpriced in the beginning dropping more - just as you'll have some properties only dropping by 10 or 15% in total.

    But you must admit it's good news that many homeowners are rushing to pay off their mortgages! :money: Obviously, with fewer forced sales there will be less bargains up for grabs!

    AGAIN

    I would rather believe BANKS AND LR figures than your link thank you

    Accept it
    If you find yourself in a fair fight, then you have failed to plan properly


    I've only ever been wrong once! and that was when I thought I was wrong but I was right
  • The fact that You would prefer to beleive the failed and nationised banks as qapposedto us ground fl oor investers says a lot.
    Nationalism is an infantile disease. It is the measles of mankind. - Albert Einstein.

    “The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them.”-

    Orwell.
  • Cat695
    Cat695 Posts: 3,647 Forumite
    The fact that You would prefer to beleive the failed and nationised banks as qapposedto us ground fl oor investers says a lot.


    well seeing as the failed banks aren't lending money (in the same newspaper as fatblokes link) and people are losing their jobs daily (BBC news) and more and more companys are going out of business I think YOUR wrong and I'M right;)
    If you find yourself in a fair fight, then you have failed to plan properly


    I've only ever been wrong once! and that was when I thought I was wrong but I was right
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