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House Prices Will Boom - Daily Express still in Denial or Stupid
 
            
                
                    brit1234                
                
                    Posts: 5,385 Forumite                
            
                        
            
                    The Daily Express have done it again with their mad property ramping.  Spot the key area that they ignore which will shoot their predictions out of the sky.
                
HOUSE PRICES WILL BOOM
(THANKS TO THE CREDIT CRUNCH)Property prices are set to soar within the next four years as demand outstrips supply, it was predicted yesterday. The credit crunch will lead to a virtual stop to house building, which in turn will create a shortage – and this could fuel a 30 per cent rise :rotfl:in prices between 2010 and 2012.
By 2012, the price of an average house price will have spiralled to £226,000.
House prices are expected to fall by eight per cent this year and four per cent next, but then recover sharply.:rotfl:
The prediction follows the publication of a dossier by the respected:question: Centre for Economic and Business Research.
CEBR’s quarterly consumer and housing prospects report estimates that house completions will fall by a fifth this year and by 10 per cent next year as builders hit by the property market slowdown put the brakes on construction.
Activity in the nation’s construction industry fell last month to its lowest level for at least 11 years.
Property experts were delighted by the report, saying it now provided some hope for home owners battered by high interest rates, rising bills and a lack of lending in the credit crunch.
David Newnes, managing director of Your Move estate agents, said: “This is the first good news for home owners that we’ve heard in months.
“There is a shortage of homes in the UK, a burgeoning population and not enough new homes are being built, so the laws of supply and demand mean house prices are sure to pick up in a year or so.”
Seamus Kavanagh, of estate agents Townends Regents, said:
“For home owners this should give them the confidence that what we are experiencing should be short-lived.
“For anyone currently moving or thinking of moving, they are likely to benefit from the positive price re-adjustment going back the other way – that is, upwards.”
Peter Bolton King, of the National Association of Estate Agents, said: “Today’s report certainly gives consumers confidence that the market will bounce back after a prolonged period of pain.”
Keith McNeilly, of the property website Moveme.com, said: “Confidence will be restored and those who can sit tight over the short term will reap the benefits.”
Ross Bowen, managing director of Connells Survey & Valuation, said: “With supply diminishing fast as household numbers grow and builders mothball developments, prices will inevitably go up again. “The return to health is likely to be quite sharp when it comes.”
The CEBR forecasts prices will start to recover next year if the Bank of England cuts interest rates, as expected in 2009.
The number of house-building completions totalled 175,000 in England last year, but the CEBR forecasts a fall to 134,000 next year.
That is far below the Government’s target for 185,000 a year – or two million additional homes between 2006 and 2016.
Barratt, Persimmon and Taylor Wimpey, three of England’s biggest house-builders, have shed thousands of jobs and share prices have plummeted as house sales have fallen away.For anyone currently moving or thinking of moving, they are likely to benefit from the positive price re-adjustment going back the other way – that is, upwards
Seamus Kavanagh, of estate agents Townends Regents:rotfl:
http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/55452/House-prices-will-boom-thanks-to-the-credit-crunch-
:exclamatiScams - Shared Equity, Shared Ownership, Newbuy, Firstbuy and Help to Buy.
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            Comments
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            Looks like Bruno wrote that article!0
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            Can't believe that they are still saying there is a shortage of houses on the market there is over 800,000 empty properties in the UK.0
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            The number of house-building completions totalled 175,000 in England last year, but the CEBR forecasts a fall to 134,000 next year.
 no chance of there being that many houses completed this year
 I can see 134,000 "shells" being built but less than 100,000 homes completed in England & Wales0
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            Many years ago I used to know the owner of The Daily Express. We worked in the same industry together. No not girlie mags! I used to get on well with Richard Desmond. He knows how to sell! So lets think about it. Right now their are many that would hate a property collapse and would buy this paper just for a bit of `` housing comfort``.0
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            Our house has been up for sale for a year - the day our board went up next to next door's "Sold " sign their sale fell through and we were both up at the same time which is not what either of us would have chosen.
 Yesterday our estate agent phoned us to say the market was down by 10% and to suggest we lowered our price.
 We lowered it by £20,000 but do not expect crowds of eager buyers to turn up!!!;)"This site is addictive!"
 Wooligan 2 squares for smoky - 3 squares for HTA
 Preemie hats - 2.0
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            more info here
 http://www.channel4.com/news/articles/business_money/property+prices+may+boom+by+2010/2377982
 does this mean channel4 are also doing mad property ramping to get more viewers for location location location?0
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            obviously everyone has stopped buying as they can not afford to get on the housing ladder has they have been priced out with mortgages and there are no first time buyers out there.
 Builders have stopped building and they have cancelled all new builds has no one can afford them.
 Now anyone can work out that when the banks lower the rates and make it easier for first time buyers to get mortgages, the buyers will come back, so its obvious house prices will go back up, but whether thats in 2010 we will have to wait and see.
 Having said that the population in the uk is growing each year infact in 2006 it grew by 350,000 people, so if they do stop building in 2010 we should have over 1 million more people to house.
 So in theory they could be right because most people have stopped looking for houses, due to high interest rates on mortgages and the high prices of houses, but as soon as cheap lending comes back and the houses bottom out there should be a rush as theres going to be another 1 million people to house, and no new builds has all builders have stopped building.
 confusedI am not a Mortgage AdviserYou should note that this site doesn't check my status as not being a Mortgage Adviser, so you need to take my word for it. Any posts on here are for information and discussion purposes only and shouldn't be seen as financial advice.0
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            The Daily Mail has the same story too....................they can't all be wrong!:p0
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            It's just propaganda attempting to resuscitate the market. Remember, the banks are not lending at sufficient levels to support today's prices. Has anyone heard of the body coming up with this "research"? I suspect it is just a propaganda vehicle.
 Even if there were a housing shortage - and I don't accept that there is - house prices would still have to fall. Say in Ethiopia there are ten men for every loaf of bread - does this mean bread will be more expensive in Ethiopia than anywhere else? No, because the Ethopians don't have as much money to pay for bread as (say) the Brits do.
 Articles like this could be quite counterproductive for the estate agents, because they may encourage sellers to hold on to their inflated valuations. Buyers will never be able to pay these prices now that the mortgage tap has been turned up, so transaction levels could fall still further.0
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