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The ever changing and adapting retirement plan
Good afternoon,
I'm looking to retire in 3.5 years time at 57 and wanted to share the basics of my plan for validation, other options or alternatives.
I understand everyone's plan is unique to the individual and I am potentially seeking advice from an IFA.
I haven't found another forum that supports the discussion for topics like this.
DC pension currently £230000 potentially worth £320000 at 57 (Currently flooding this company pension with expendable salary through salary sacrifice and AVCs. I'm a 20% tax payer)
Deferred DB pension worth 12k per year which can be taken at 60 with no penalties.
Full state pension at 67
Cash ISA currently 12k (Currently an emergency fund)
Stocks and shares ISA currentky 45k (looking to grow this for 2 years then switch to money market funds for stock crash fund. Ideally 2 years income)
Looking at an income of £2500 or 30k per year as a minimum. More if projections allow and are sensible.
57-59
Take 25% cash free lump sum 80k. Drawdown DC pension 12.5k (or tax threshold) every year and use the tax free cash to top up (17.5k)
60-66
DB pension 12k. Drawdown DC pension 18k every year
67-End
DB pension 12k. State pension 12.5k. DC pension drawdown 5.5k
Just bare bones with inflation, tax efficiencies and other factors not included.
Comments
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is the desired £30k post tax?
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Yes it is.
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in which case you need to factor that in to your plan from age 60 and see how long the DC pension might last.
I’m a Senior Forum Ambassador and I support the Forum Team on the Pensions, Annuities & Retirement Planning, Loans
& Credit Cards boards. If you need any help on these boards, do let me know. Please note that Ambassadors are not moderators. Any posts you spot in breach of the Forum Rules should be reported via the report button, or by emailing forumteam@moneysavingexpert.com.
All views are my own and not the official line of MoneySavingExpert.0 -
Based on inputs, the pot should last into my 80's worse case scenario of no growth.
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I am not sure that "no growth" is actually the worst case scenario. Try 50% fall in year 1 and no recovery for 10 years.
Maybe also investigate an annuity - though your DB pension will do a lot of the job an annuity might.
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Based on inputs, the pot should last into my 80's worse case scenario of no growth.
I'd suggest a more realistic worst case scenario would be an immediate big equity slump (e.g. 50%) followed by multiple years of inflationary growth. The more years you can survive with little growth after a big slump (which is going to happen at some time) the better.
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Yes. Wrong turn if phrase. I would have at least 2/3 years of salary to help ride out a stock slump.
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Yes. Wrong turn if phrase. I would have at least 2/3 years of salary to help ride out a stock slump.
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Are you aware of the concept of Safe Withdrawal Rates for a retirement pot? It is only a rule of thumb, but from age 57 if you withdrew 3% a year ( increasing with inflation each year) , it is very unlikely the pot would run out before you are 90. Even then it would be unlikely to run out, and maybe the pot will be even bigger than when you started. It is a kind of safety first calculation.
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OP's plan has a solid foundation, particularly the DB pension, but the arithmetic needs revisiting. From 60, £30,000 gross provides only around £26,500 net at current tax rates. Meeting your £30,000 net target requires approximately £22,400 annually from your DC pension alongside the DB income.
After taking £80,000 tax-free cash, only £240,000 remains invested. Even assuming zero growth and ignoring inflation, that level of withdrawal creates significant sustainability concerns. Two or three years of cash reserves may cushion market falls, but won't eliminate sequence-of-returns risk. I'd model inflation-adjusted spending, taxation and adverse market scenarios before committing to retirement at 57.
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