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Are we expecting BOE to remain at 4.75% on 8th February 2025?

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  • Zerforax
    Zerforax Posts: 417 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker

    Interest rates likely to fall to pre-Covid levels, IMF predicts

    Interest rates in major economies are expected to fall in the future because of low productivity and ageing populations, according to a forecast.

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says increases in borrowing costs are likely to be "temporary" once high inflation is brought under control.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65237286


  • lojo1000
    lojo1000 Posts: 288 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Meanwhile yields across the curve continue to rise....


    To solve inequality and failing productivity, cap leverage allowed to be used in property transactions. This lowers the ROI on housing, reduces monetary demand for housing, reduces house prices bringing them more into line with wage growth as opposed to debt expansion.

    Reduce stamp duty on new builds and increase stamp duty on pre-existing property.

    No-one should have control of setting interest rates since it only adds to uncertainty. Let the markets price yields, credit and labour.
  • Strummer22
    Strummer22 Posts: 718 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 500 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Not great news with the inflation figures today, remaining just above 10%. It seems food price inflation is the main cause.

    I expect the base rate to go up to 4.5% next month although I'm not sure how that helps with food price inflation.  
  • london21
    london21 Posts: 2,161 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Fourth Anniversary Name Dropper
    They said rates might start to fall towards christmas. 
  • lojo1000
    lojo1000 Posts: 288 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Market expects another +75bps hike by November.

    Latest GBP yield curve this morning:


    To solve inequality and failing productivity, cap leverage allowed to be used in property transactions. This lowers the ROI on housing, reduces monetary demand for housing, reduces house prices bringing them more into line with wage growth as opposed to debt expansion.

    Reduce stamp duty on new builds and increase stamp duty on pre-existing property.

    No-one should have control of setting interest rates since it only adds to uncertainty. Let the markets price yields, credit and labour.
  • lojo1000
    lojo1000 Posts: 288 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    BoE needs to kill the demand for money which too many in the UK seem to think is how to live their lives; i.e. borrow money.
    To solve inequality and failing productivity, cap leverage allowed to be used in property transactions. This lowers the ROI on housing, reduces monetary demand for housing, reduces house prices bringing them more into line with wage growth as opposed to debt expansion.

    Reduce stamp duty on new builds and increase stamp duty on pre-existing property.

    No-one should have control of setting interest rates since it only adds to uncertainty. Let the markets price yields, credit and labour.
  • lojo1000
    lojo1000 Posts: 288 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    There are going to be some very difficult conversations within the UK mortgage providers in the next few days.
    To solve inequality and failing productivity, cap leverage allowed to be used in property transactions. This lowers the ROI on housing, reduces monetary demand for housing, reduces house prices bringing them more into line with wage growth as opposed to debt expansion.

    Reduce stamp duty on new builds and increase stamp duty on pre-existing property.

    No-one should have control of setting interest rates since it only adds to uncertainty. Let the markets price yields, credit and labour.
  • lojo1000
    lojo1000 Posts: 288 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Quote from a mortgage broker: "Following the most recent rate rise, one leading lender, offering a five-year fixed rate of 6.14% for borrowing at 90%, announced that the stress rate it was now going to use had risen to 10.39%."

    That's before today's inflation numbers.
    To solve inequality and failing productivity, cap leverage allowed to be used in property transactions. This lowers the ROI on housing, reduces monetary demand for housing, reduces house prices bringing them more into line with wage growth as opposed to debt expansion.

    Reduce stamp duty on new builds and increase stamp duty on pre-existing property.

    No-one should have control of setting interest rates since it only adds to uncertainty. Let the markets price yields, credit and labour.
  • lojo1000
    lojo1000 Posts: 288 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    lojo1000 said:
    Market expects another +75bps hike by November.

    Latest GBP yield curve this morning:



    To solve inequality and failing productivity, cap leverage allowed to be used in property transactions. This lowers the ROI on housing, reduces monetary demand for housing, reduces house prices bringing them more into line with wage growth as opposed to debt expansion.

    Reduce stamp duty on new builds and increase stamp duty on pre-existing property.

    No-one should have control of setting interest rates since it only adds to uncertainty. Let the markets price yields, credit and labour.
  • RelievedSheff
    RelievedSheff Posts: 12,691 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Sixth Anniversary Name Dropper Photogenic
    lojo1000 said:
    Quote from a mortgage broker: "Following the most recent rate rise, one leading lender, offering a five-year fixed rate of 6.14% for borrowing at 90%, announced that the stress rate it was now going to use had risen to 10.39%."

    That's before today's inflation numbers.
    That's nothing new.

    Stress testing of around +4% (or more) above the agreed interest rate has been around for years now.
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