Scottish mortgage trust: a buy or a trap?

Amazin
Amazin Posts: 117 Forumite
Part of the Furniture 10 Posts Combo Breaker
edited 23 January 2022 at 11:38PM in Savings & investments
It's almost 30% down from their all time high at the moment. Personally I think this is just the market, not because SMT'S bad decisions. They have almost 100 years of track records but would like to see what others are thinking. 

A buy right now or avoid? 
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Comments

  • Audaxer
    Audaxer Posts: 3,547 Forumite
    Eighth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    I don't know what you mean by "or a trap"? It might keep going down a bit more or start recovering straight away - no ones knows. If it fits with the rest of your portfolio and you plan to hold long term, it is a better time to buy than a few weeks ago.
  • cattie
    cattie Posts: 8,841 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    I'd be buying if I didn't already have what for me is my max holding. I'm in for the long term, so hopefully there will be a good return by the time I'll need to access my s&s isa nest egg.
    The bigger the bargain, the better I feel.

    I should mention that there's only one of me, don't confuse me with others of the same name.
  • Alice_Holt
    Alice_Holt Posts: 6,094 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Amazin said:
    It's almost 30% down from their all time high at the moment. Personally I think this is just the market, not because SAT'S bad decisions. They have almost 100 years of track records but would like to see what others are thinking. 

    A buy right now or avoid? 
           Go back to 2008 (ish) and SMT was c.60% down. It recovered well over the next 12 (ish) years, though !

           It continues to have a place in my portfolio (held since 1998), but my reduced risk tolerance means I won't be adding to my holding.  The next 10-15 years will determine whether these are good decisions or not.    
    Alice Holt Forest situated some 4 miles south of Farnham forms the most northerly gateway to the South Downs National Park.
  • Audaxer
    Audaxer Posts: 3,547 Forumite
    Eighth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    edited 23 January 2022 at 8:27PM
    Amazin said:
    It's almost 30% down from their all time high at the moment. Personally I think this is just the market, not because SAT'S bad decisions. They have almost 100 years of track records but would like to see what others are thinking. 

    A buy right now or avoid? 
           Go back to 2008 (ish) and SMT was c.60% down. It recovered well over the next 12 (ish) years, though !

           It continues to have a place in my portfolio (held since 1998), but my reduced risk tolerance means I won't be adding to my holding.  The next 10-15 years will determine whether these are good decisions or not.    
    If you have now reduced your risk tolerance, just wondering if you have crystallised some of the SMT gains over that time by rebalancing your portfolio?
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Amazin said:
     Personally I think this is just the market, not because SAT'S bad decisions. 
    Then our opinions are of no consequence. As we are the market. 
  • Bravepants
    Bravepants Posts: 1,628 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic

    Can someone please explain to me the attraction of SMT?
    I don't understand what all the fuss is about an IT with a yield of 0.33%.
    Presumably people are expectant of further growth spurts?
    If you want to be rich, live like you're poor; if you want to be poor, live like you're rich.
  • ColdIron
    ColdIron Posts: 9,703 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Hung up my suit! Name Dropper
    edited 24 January 2022 at 11:36AM
    It's not an income investment and the dividend yield is irrelevant. The returns come from share price growth
    Yield is not return
    Since 2016 it's up 250% for me (though that was 300% 3 months ago from memory). That's quite an attraction for many
  • Alice_Holt
    Alice_Holt Posts: 6,094 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Audaxer said:
    Amazin said:
    It's almost 30% down from their all time high at the moment. Personally I think this is just the market, not because SAT'S bad decisions. They have almost 100 years of track records but would like to see what others are thinking. 

    A buy right now or avoid? 
           Go back to 2008 (ish) and SMT was c.60% down. It recovered well over the next 12 (ish) years, though !

           It continues to have a place in my portfolio (held since 1998), but my reduced risk tolerance means I won't be adding to my holding.  The next 10-15 years will determine whether these are good decisions or not.    
    If you have now reduced your risk tolerance, just wondering if you have crystallised some of the SMT gains over that time by rebalancing your portfolio?
            Yes indeed, the last re-balancing exercise was from SMT into Capital Gearing - quite a different investment fund !

            Although when I first acquired shares in SMT, it was then another general global IT, rather than the more concentrated fund it has become.
    Alice Holt Forest situated some 4 miles south of Farnham forms the most northerly gateway to the South Downs National Park.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic

    Can someone please explain to me the attraction of SMT?

    A belief that the management team will identify the next Tesla at a very early stage. 
  • Bravepants
    Bravepants Posts: 1,628 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic

    Can someone please explain to me the attraction of SMT?

    A belief that the management team will identify the next Tesla at a very early stage. 

    So it's not really a long term hold, with such a low yield there is little benefit of compounding by the re-investment of dividends.
    If you want to be rich, live like you're poor; if you want to be poor, live like you're rich.
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