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Share price variability

I saw NMC Health Plc was a recommened buy, so I bought some. They are up 17% and still a strong recommended buy.
There is a way to go before they reach what they were last year. They were up 7% yesterday and 5% today.
Lots of money to be made for people that know which way the share price will go, I am just hoping to be lucky.
What is normal for share price variation?


https://www.lse.co.uk/SharePrice.asp?shareprice=NMC&share=NMC-Healthcare
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Comments

  • sevenhills wrote: »
    Lots of money to be made for people that know which way the share price will go
    A great insight. Thank you for sharing
    Im A Budding Neil Woodford.
  • coyrls
    coyrls Posts: 2,521 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    sevenhills wrote: »
    What is normal for share price variation?
    They can't go below zero.
  • gingerscot
    gingerscot Posts: 52 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    edited 17 January 2020 at 1:36PM
    Many shares are recommended buys by many organisations and tipsters every day, may will go up, many will not. If it was that easy we'd all be billionaires.

    NMC Health was shorted/attached by Muddy Waters (investment management company) claiming it had finance and asset valuations were way off.

    So if you had bought the Shares a month ago you'd be down 50%. If you bought 3 weeks ago when it was initially recovered and tipsters were saying the same thing, you'd be down 15%.

    Reason it went up today was that they've hired some ex-FBI director to produce a report to counter the allegations. Could it go further? Probably. Could the claim have merit and over the next 6-12 months slowly we see the true picture? Possibly.

    For such a large company on FTSE, the share does have massive swings and is very volatile so no, it's not normal for a multi billion market cap. It's more like a AIM share tbh bar it's obviously easy to sell/liquid. It can easily swim upwards of 5-10%/day on little to no news which is very unsusal for a FTSE company, especially a FTSE100 (if it's still in?).

    The reason you are seeing it is precisely because of it's volatility, the massive fall in share price and news stories. There are many short term traders wanting a quick buck and this is exactly the kind of situation that tempts them and such articles and tips will appear.
  • aroominyork
    aroominyork Posts: 3,555 Forumite
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    sevenhills wrote: »
    Lots of money to be made for people that know which way the share price will go
    Just think about that for a moment. Do you think there is a single person or entity (deities aside) that knows this?
  • I'd be careful you're not seen to be trying to recommend a share
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    sevenhills wrote: »
    Lots of money to be made for people that know which way the share price will go, I am just hoping to be lucky.

    Roulette wheels are best avoided. You never know what might happen on the next spin.
  • Just think about that for a moment. Do you think there is a single person or entity (deities aside) that knows this?
    Insider traders know it so yes, there are definitely people in the know and they do make a lot of money although it is illegal.
  • jamei305
    jamei305 Posts: 635 Forumite
    Tenth Anniversary 500 Posts Name Dropper
    Recommending shares is easy. On average most shares go up more than down, otherwise no one would invest in them at all. Every pundit should therefore have a good track record.
  • sevenhills
    sevenhills Posts: 5,938 Forumite
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    gingerscot wrote: »
    Many shares are recommended buys by many organisations and tipsters every day, may will go up, many will not. If it was that easy we'd all be billionaires.


    Just looking at HL site in more detail.
    Barclays Capital, 07/01, Reiterates, Overweight, Overweight and Goldman Sachs, 28/10, Reiterates, Buy, Buy, 4,170.00p
    But yet it stated 'strong buy'
  • sevenhills wrote: »
    Just looking at HL site in more detail.
    Barclays Capital, 07/01, Reiterates, Overweight, Overweight and Goldman Sachs, 28/10, Reiterates, Buy, Buy, 4,170.00p
    But yet it stated 'strong buy'

    Ah yes the "Hargreaves Lansdown" experience.
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