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ABrass Posts: 1,005 Forumite

15 January 2021 at 12:18PM

joefizz said:

ABrass wrote: »

I'm assuming you read to the end?

I did, yes ;-)

I dont think the prices will go up but I dont think they will fall either. I agree with you that economies of scale will kick in and I'll partially disagree about the powertrain and control cost savings because motors and control electronics have been going for eons.
From my discussions with battery people in the summer I think that batteries are currently there or thereabouts with the likelihood that they wont get cheaper (fast extraction means they are currently getting dearer). so unless theres some sort of breakthrough that nobody I spoke to can forsee in the next few years then we are pretty much there.
Input costs will for the forseeable track fuel costs and whilst I do think FF costs will increase in the long term, they may well fall in the short term but with companies hedging the input costs years in advance we may not see any short term advantage.

Battery prices dropped 13% in 2020.
https://about.bnef.com/blog/battery-pack-prices-cited-below-100-kwh-for-the-first-time-in-2020-while-market-average-sits-at-137-kwh/

8kW (4kW WNW, 4kW SSE) 6kW inverter. 6.5kWh battery.
4

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