P2P: Saving Stream (AKA SavingStream)

JohnRo

If you're asking me, it's going into a cash account until April then into my ISA or unwrapped investments at some point.

I may look at adding something like RDL (despite the Argon fiasco) to the income portfolio's specialist list at some point but for now I'm more comfortable with cash and run of the mill global equities with all their inherent risks.

taylornj

JohnRo wrote: »

Placing this as a template, updated with today's data

[B]Asset Details        % Book       Asset value        Loan Value    % pa     LTV[/B]
  
In Default            4.54%    £11,790,000.00     £8,051,500.00   12.00%  68.29%

Interest Accruing     8.90%    £24,480,000.00    £15,797,000.00   12.00%  64.53%

Interest Serviced    12.26%    £42,195,000.00    £21,749,750.00   12.00%  51.55%

Interest on Account  74.30%   £309,218,433.00   £131,850,153.00   11.66%  42.64%

loans in SBL (interest serviced) set to increase by £8,609,357.00 within the next ten days, that will move the percentage of loans on the book at that point, in some form of default, to over twenty eight and a half percent of total.

If anyone wants a column type added just ask.

--
I've managed to get down to my last £150 pending sale on SM before withdrawal.

Those numbers look suspect.

Over the weekend two SBL loans of over £8m were paid off PBL035, PBL073, and a new loan DFL019 of £7m went live, so the total should be down by £1m, yet the total remains unchanged, in fact your IOA interest on account remains unchanged by a new £7m loan. When did you do this?

Either the numbers aren't current enough or the methods used are wrong, but you say it's today, maybe F9 refresh is needed.

JohnRo

I'll check and amend as necessary, thanks. Won't happen again

[B]Asset Details        % Book       Asset value        Loan Value    % pa     LTV[/B]
  
In Default            4.57%    £11,790,000.00     £8,051,500.00   12.00%  68.29%

Interest Accruing     8.97%    £24,480,000.00    £15,797,000.00   12.00%  64.53%

Interest Serviced     7.78%    £25,770,000.00    £13,709,750.00   12.00%  53.20%

Interest on Account  78.68%   £339,052,433.00   £138,620,649.00   11.10%  40.88%

Loan Book Total     100.00%   £401,092,433.00   £176,178,899.00   11.29%  43.92%

bigadaj

It's an interesting business model, assuming that they are generating 0.5% per month on the good loans, and funding ten defaulted loans from this then they currently have around half of their income going in servicing investors, actually since they aren't paying interest on defaulted loans and interest accruing it's quite a bit less.

They have a good turnover of loans which is a possible but it is all property related so lacks diversity for some.

Their valuations are sometimes questioned as being overly generous, with a suggestion that some loans are close to market value, if not above, and some loads may have second charges and ownership questions.

There's no doubt it's a quick way to get into secured p2p lending on both teh primary and secondary market but there appear to be a lot of loans that hit problems at some point.

JohnRo

I'm not writing them off completely, I like the website and the investment model quite a lot. I think it's the due diligence part of the equation that's been lacking.

They're trying to improve the banking side of things as well which is always welcome and wasn't terrible anyway.

I just decided it's probably prudent to withdraw funds for now and give it a few months. See how they cope getting over this hurdle of what is starting to look like a mounting catalogue of potential defaults, which are bound to have accumulating costs even if they're not being serviced by Lendy.

This year should see them prove whether it can work long term or not.

nushnush

another loan has just repaid in full.

masonic

While it is nice to see that at least a few of the loans are being repaid without issue, and that there is now greater transparency over the status of the loans, I still think the elephant in the room is the proportion of loans in difficulties and that proportion isn't going to be improved by good loans redeeming. Fortunately there has been a net expansion of the loan book during this period.

Since the greater transparency measures were introduced, there has not (to my knowledge) been a single loan that was in interest arrears where the borrower has resumed interest payments. That leaves me with very little doubt that in most cases they are heading for formal default and recovery.

Now that we have this transparency, we can easily see if and when there are signs of improvement.

Dan83

For me, the biggest down side to saving stream is the variable interest rate. When I first joined everything was 12%. Recently I have seen as low as 7%.

I have been slowly selling loans that are with-in 50 days of their end date and putting the money into collateral, money thing and funding secure.

I've been using collateral for a while and the loans seem to come at once, then nothing for a while. Moneything seems to have dried up loan wise. I get loads of emails from funding secure, I've not long joined and I'm still not 100% on how much I want to put in. The main draw back to funding secure for me is the interest, it's not paid monthly, it's paid at the end of the term.

taylornj

masonic wrote: »

Since the greater transparency measures were introduced, there has not (to my knowledge) been a single loan that was in interest arrears where the borrower has resumed interest payments. That leaves me with very little doubt that in most cases they are heading for formal default and recovery.

I refer you to PBL006, and PBL035.

PBL035 which was repaid over the weekend. This has been rolled over into DFL019, which is a larger loan and with a positive term, so is now paying interest.

Depends on your view point if this counts or not.

PBL035, PBL073, PBL105 have all been overruns in interest arrears, and would have paid off the loan value plus any in arrears interest. You can't just ignore these there needs to be at least the smallest amount of credit given.

PBL006 had gone from IA to IOA with a term of 27days left now down to 8days. So that's at least 90 + 27days interest, not sure how far below -90 days PBL006 had gone. I'd have to check through the full history of this one, I think it has to count.

masonic

taylornj wrote: »

I refer you to PBL006, and PBL035.

PBL035, PBL073, PBL105 have all been overruns in interest arrears, and would have paid off the loan value plus any in arrears interest. You can't just ignore these there needs to be at least the smallest amount of credit given.

Thanks. I was going on information in this thread, where the positive change to PBL006 was not mentioned, but you are correct that status updates at SS confirm interest arrears, plus a sum to extend by 1 month has been received. So at least there is one example of a loan that was well past due being serviced by the borrower.

PBL035, PBL073, PBL105 are not loans I would class as in interest arrears, because they were all less than one month past due date when they redeemed (I do see the status of PBL035 did move from IOA->SBL briefly during this month).