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Deutsche Bank toxic derivative losses

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Comments

  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    AG47 wrote: »
    I'm buying silver bullion while it's still so artificially cheap, I'm happy to just watch and wait for the vale of silver to correct to the long term norm.:T

    Good luck. I hope silver doubles in price - what will you spend the £300 gain on? Don't tell me; does it involve buying in the dips?
  • Sapphire
    Sapphire Posts: 4,269 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Debt-free and Proud!
    Hasn't a really big problem just been announced with an Italian bank (that's on top of information that was published some weeks ago about Italian banks)? I think it's the bank that's the oldest in the world…

    I think many things about the failing EU are being hidden (particularly about the Eurozone). There's only so long that this can continue before it all implodes (in my view).
  • Sapphire wrote: »
    Hasn't a really big problem just been announced with an Italian bank (that's on top of information that was published some weeks ago about Italian banks)? I think it's the bank that's the oldest in the world…

    I think many things about the failing EU are being hidden (particularly about the Eurozone). There's only so long that this can continue before it all implodes (in my view).

    It has been ongoing for quite a while but today:
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eurozone-banks-italy-monte-dei-paschi-idUSKCN12P1UP
    http://www.express.co.uk/finance/city/724920/Italy-s-Monte-dei-Paschi-bank-shares-SUSPENDED-after-huge-plunge

    And from FT in August:
    https://www.ft.com/content/821f138a-5e2a-11e6-bb77-a121aa8abd95

    As for "things being hidden", some of us have been saying just that for six months or more.
    You are quite correct however that the carpet can only have so much swept beneath it before it spills out.
  • AG47
    AG47 Posts: 1,618 Forumite
    It has been ongoing for quite a while but today:
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eurozone-banks-italy-monte-dei-paschi-idUSKCN12P1UP
    http://www.express.co.uk/finance/city/724920/Italy-s-Monte-dei-Paschi-bank-shares-SUSPENDED-after-huge-plunge

    And from FT in August:
    https://www.ft.com/content/821f138a-5e2a-11e6-bb77-a121aa8abd95

    As for "things being hidden", some of us have been saying just that for six months or more.
    You are quite correct however that the carpet can only have so much swept beneath it before it spills out.

    Six months, what about 8 years? It's clear to see that 2008 was just a case of pushing the problems into the future.
    Nothing has been fixed since 2008, it was just pushed into the future
  • pop_gun
    pop_gun Posts: 372 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Combo Breaker
    edited 27 October 2016 at 10:16AM
    AG47 wrote: »
    Just out of interest, does anybody think DB can be saved from this mess? If so how?

    The losses will never be realised. The creditors won't ask for payment. Other vested countries will bail in DB so the Germany government doesn't have to. This will be done through proxy (a couple of hedge funds perhaps) so as not to alarm anyone.
  • AG47
    AG47 Posts: 1,618 Forumite
    pop_gun wrote: »
    The losses will never be realised. The creditors won't ask for payment. Other vested countries will bail in DB so the Germany government doesn't have to. This will be done through proxy (a couple of hedge funds perhaps) so as to alarm anyone.

    If trillions of losses are never realised, then all those who won the bets will be the losers. They would never agree to this.
    Nothing has been fixed since 2008, it was just pushed into the future
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    AG47 wrote: »
    Six months, what about 8 years? It's clear to see that 2008 was just a case of pushing the problems into the future.

    The issues were always going to take decades to resolve. G10 conference in May 2010 discussed how austerity, debt levels, the recapitalisation of the banks could possibly be tackled at the same time. Japan has been in the doldrums for 30 years. What's different in the West?
  • theEnd
    theEnd Posts: 851 Forumite
    AG47 wrote: »
    If trillions of losses are never realised, then all those who won the bets will be the losers. They would never agree to this.

    .... or they don't exists.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    AG47 wrote: »
    If trillions of losses are never realised, then all those who won the bets will be the losers. They would never agree to this.

    How did Barclays manage to trade the UK investment banking operation of Lehmans out at a profit? Not always what it may seem.
  • AG47
    AG47 Posts: 1,618 Forumite
    DB are going to be forced to release next earning report this week, get ready for another massive move down as soon as the numbers come out....
    Nothing has been fixed since 2008, it was just pushed into the future
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