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How Much Longer Before The Crash

245

Comments

  • abaxas
    abaxas Posts: 4,141 Forumite
    GracieP wrote: »
    Plenty of people made a LOT of money in the dotcom bubble. I didn't, but I'm not even the tiniest bit bitter about it. Why do people assume that those who "missed out" on the property bubble are bitter?

    Because they would have been bitter if they'd 'lost out'. Face is everything to some people.
  • Doozergirl
    Doozergirl Posts: 34,082 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    I heard the crash was happening while Hell's Kitchen is on later :confused: Is that not right?
    Everything that is supposed to be in heaven is already here on earth.
  • Biggles
    Biggles Posts: 8,209 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Oh dear, feeding the trolls.

    Bear in mind that, if there ever were to be a crash, it would be the very first.

    To date, the biggest drop in UK house prices was 25%, and it took almost four years in the early 90s to manage that. That is not a 'crash'. And they recovered over the following four years.

    There was never a stage where 'estate agents refused to sell your house'! That would have been hilarious!

    I wish share prices were as resilient!
  • F_T_Buyer
    F_T_Buyer Posts: 1,139 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Biggles wrote: »
    Oh dear, feeding the trolls.

    Bear in mind that, if there ever were to be a crash, it would be the very first.

    To date, the biggest drop in UK house prices was 25%, and it took almost four years in the early 90s to manage that. That is not a 'crash'. And they recovered over the following four years.

    There was never a stage where 'estate agents refused to sell your house'! That would have been hilarious!

    I wish share prices were as resilient!


    A crash is usually defined as a nominal fall of 15% over any period, be it stocks or houses.
  • abaxas
    abaxas Posts: 4,141 Forumite
    Biggles wrote: »
    Oh dear, feeding the trolls.

    Bear in mind that, if there ever were to be a crash, it would be the very first.

    To date, the biggest drop in UK house prices was 25%, and it took almost four years in the early 90s to manage that. That is not a 'crash'. And they recovered over the following four years.

    There was never a stage where 'estate agents refused to sell your house'! That would have been hilarious!

    I wish share prices were as resilient!

    Obviously you werent around in the Newcastle then. Whole areas had zero value, others were unsellable. These type of things will never show up in figures as there were NEVER a sale.

    So you seriously think an estate agent would take on something they cant sell? Obviously you do :confused:
  • pinkshoes wrote: »
    People have been speculating about a price crash for years. some of those are probably a little bitter now, given that they could have made a lot of profit if they'd bought 7 years ago rather than sitting and waiting for a crash... zzzzzzzzzz.

    Yawn.

    By the way pinkshoes, you never answered the questions I put to you in this thread http://forums.moneysavingexpert.com/showthread.html?p=5946075#post5946075
    Hi, we’ve had to remove your signature. If you’re not sure why please read the forum rules or email the forum team if you’re still unsure - MSE ForumTeam
  • If prices reach 1990 levels again, I'll be buying a few as a pension plan.

    A crash or correction is long overdue. In the future, I expect mortgages will not be tied to BofE base rates and lending multiples will fall to 3 times joint income. This will see many people lose loads of equity. Those who cannot afford a house now will still be unable to buy due to the squeeze on lending multiples and interest rates being relatively high but stable at around 7.5%.

    Of course, I could be wrong.

    :)

    GG
    There are 10 types of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those that don't.
  • If prices reach 1990 levels again, I'll be buying a few as a pension plan.

    A crash or correction is long overdue. In the future, I expect mortgages will not be tied to BofE base rates and lending multiples will fall to 3 times joint income. This will see many people lose loads of equity. Those who cannot afford a house now will still be unable to buy due to the squeeze on lending multiples and interest rates being relatively high but stable at around 7.5%.

    Of course, I could be wrong.

    :)

    GG

    I'm sure you weren't this bearish on housing when I first started lurking on MSE. Why the change in sentiment George?
    Hi, we’ve had to remove your signature. If you’re not sure why please read the forum rules or email the forum team if you’re still unsure - MSE ForumTeam
  • dolce_vita
    dolce_vita Posts: 1,031 Forumite
    I'm sure you weren't this bearish on housing when I first started lurking on MSE. Why the change in sentiment George?


    The tide is turning my friend.
    dolce vita's stock reply templates

    #1. The people that run these "sell your house and rent back" companies are generally lying thieves and are best avoided

    #2. This time next year house prices in general will be lower than they are now

    #3. Cheap houses are a good thing not a bad thing
  • I'm sure you weren't this bearish on housing when I first started lurking on MSE. Why the change in sentiment George?

    The tablets must be having less effect.

    IMHO, FTBer house prices have reached the maximum possible level. Even if IRs were reduced to zero, the capital would need to be repaid and that alone would be difficult enough. Perhaps a year or two ago, I thought the same but expected continuing demand and low IRs to provide a smoothing off rather than a crash.

    I have two kids that should be looking to buying a place of their own but are forced to rent. It is a desperate and dire situation. A HPC won't really help them, I'm afraid. The best that they could do is have 10 kids and sponge off the State.

    A HPC could yet be averted but I think a world recession will eventually stuff us all.

    Still, no point worrying about things that you cannot change.

    GG
    There are 10 types of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those that don't.
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