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Misleading National Lottery advert.

13

Comments

  • pappa_golf wrote: »
    perhaps scrapping that advert , could bring back "3 balls win £10"

    Why would you want to go back to 3 balls wins £10, when it's now 3 balls wins £25 :huh:
  • Latazza wrote: »
    I think a lot of people here need to go back to school and resit maths. The odds do get smaller the more tickets you buy

    But, buying more tickets does not lengthen the odds, of someone else's ticket winning.
  • getzls
    getzls Posts: 761 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 500 Posts Combo Breaker
    Think you need to get out of your Bedsit a bit more Bob
  • prowla
    prowla Posts: 14,081 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Latazza wrote: »
    I think a lot of people here need to go back to school and resit maths. The odds do get smaller the more tickets you buy
    I think someone does, anyway...

    Whilst your odds improve, it has no effect on other people's.
  • tony6403
    tony6403 Posts: 1,257 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    soolin wrote: »
    It is the odds themself that change.

    If 10,000 people buy tickets then 'they' have a 1 in 10,000 chance of winning, if however 100,000 people buy tickets then the odds are reduced as 'they' have only 1 in 100,000 chance of winning.

    Personally I dislike the Madbid adverts.

    The odds for winning the top prize are now 1 in 45,057,000.
    Every additional ticket you buy has those same odds minus one.
    Forgotten but not gone.
  • JReacher1
    JReacher1 Posts: 4,663 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper I've been Money Tipped!
    The best thing about the "please not them" advert is that these people aren't appearing in the advert for free. I would imagine they are all getting paid a decent sum of money to appear in these adverts so technically it's already them!
  • Ian011
    Ian011 Posts: 2,432 Forumite
    Fifth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Latazza wrote: »
    I think a lot of people here need to go back to school and resit maths. The odds do get smaller the more tickets you buy.
    Yes, but buying more tickets does not decrease the chances that some other particular person has of winning. Their chances are dictated by how many possible combinations there are, not by how many tickets are sold (unlike a raffle).
  • JJG
    JJG Posts: 342 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Name Dropper
    tony6403 wrote: »
    The odds for winning the top prize are now 1 in 45,057,000.
    Every additional ticket you buy has those same odds minus one.

    Not quite. If you buy two tickets it doubles your chances. Instead of 1 in 45,057,000 it'll be 2 in 45,057,000. So with two tickets your odds are 1 in 22,528,500.
  • JReacher1
    JReacher1 Posts: 4,663 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper I've been Money Tipped!
    JJG wrote: »
    Not quite. If you buy two tickets it doubles your chances. Instead of 1 in 45,057,000 it'll be 2 in 45,057,000. So with two tickets your odds are 1 in 22,528,500.

    I think you've misunderstood how the rules of probability work. The odds of winning the lottery don't halve because you've bought two tickets.
  • zagfles
    zagfles Posts: 21,543 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Chutzpah Haggler
    JReacher1 wrote: »
    I think you've misunderstood how the rules of probability work. The odds of winning the lottery don't halve because you've bought two tickets.
    Err...of course they don't, they double. As the PP said. Assuming you don't buy 2 tickets with exactly the same numbers!
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