Debate House Prices


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Paul Hodges: UK house prices to fall 50% in global ‘Great Unwinding’

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Comments

  • Killerseven
    Killerseven Posts: 205 Forumite
    hpifever wrote: »
    Carefull killerseven you will upset the hpi nutters!

    Too late, only one side of the fence here. Dare you consider there re to sides.
    HTB = Help to Bubble.
  • Killerseven
    Killerseven Posts: 205 Forumite
    Isn't it true that most asset classes do drop up to 50% every few decades, property is likely next.
    HTB = Help to Bubble.
  • vivatifosi
    vivatifosi Posts: 18,746 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Mortgage-free Glee! PPI Party Pooper
    Too late, only one side of the fence here. Dare you consider there re to sides.

    Seriously? You wait four months then bump your own thread?

    Isn't it true that most asset classes do drop up to 50% every few decades, property is likely next.

    There are two big differences between housing and most other asset classes...

    1. with housing, supply and demand are totally out of whack with equilibrium.

    2. People need shelter in a way that they don't require gold, silver or pork bellies. We all need a roof over our head. There is no substitute for a roof over ones head. That makes house prices far less elastic than for other items.

    There is no way you are going to see widespread 50% falls in this country unless it totally goes to the dogs and we have bigger problems to deal with.
    Please stay safe in the sun and learn the A-E of melanoma: A = asymmetry, B = irregular borders, C= different colours, D= diameter, larger than 6mm, E = evolving, is your mole changing? Most moles are not cancerous, any doubts, please check next time you visit your GP.
  • purch
    purch Posts: 9,865 Forumite
    Isn't it true that most asset classes do drop up to 50% every few decades, property is likely next.

    No.

    Can you provide a few examples ?
    'In nature, there are neither rewards nor punishments - there are Consequences.'
  • Landofwood
    Landofwood Posts: 765 Forumite
    Isn't it true that most asset classes do drop up to 50% every few decades, property is likely next.

    Assets such as...
  • caronoel
    caronoel Posts: 908 Forumite
    I've been Money Tipped!
    Landofwood wrote: »
    Assets such as...

    our dear chum, brit1234, reckons that house prices will drop 50% by Christmas 2009
  • Landofwood
    Landofwood Posts: 765 Forumite
    caronoel wrote: »
    our dear chum, brit1234, reckons that house prices will drop 50% by Christmas 2009

    I don't care, go away.
  • caronoel
    caronoel Posts: 908 Forumite
    I've been Money Tipped!
    Landofwood wrote: »
    I don't care, go away.

    This witty retort suggests you've not yet figured out the concept of "Debate house prices", have you?

    Oh well......
  • thor
    thor Posts: 5,505 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts
    vivatifosi wrote: »
    There is no way you are going to see widespread 50% falls in this country unless it totally goes to the dogs and we have bigger problems to deal with.
    Similar things were said about banks a decade ago. It was widely regarded that if circumstances arose where your savings and bank shares were at serious risk then that would only be the tip of the iceberg. Well savings were partially protected but banks shares.......
  • wotsthat
    wotsthat Posts: 11,325 Forumite
    thor wrote: »
    Similar things were said about banks a decade ago. It was widely regarded that if circumstances arose where your savings and bank shares were at serious risk then that would only be the tip of the iceberg. Well savings were partially protected but banks shares.......

    Mug punters in cash did better than investors in bank shares - How often do you think that happens? Once every couple of generations?

    Exceptions don't make rules.
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