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MPC may raise Interest Rates to 6% in August!

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Comments

  • free4440273
    free4440273 Posts: 38,438 Forumite
    if futures are reducing the likelihood of a rate increase (and I'm still not sure they are actually), what the hell is still propping up sterling (against the dollar i mean)? it can't just be the yield differential between US and UK rates.
    BLOODBATH IN THE EVENING THEN? :shocked: OR PERHAPS THE AFTERNOON? OR THE MORNING? OH, FORGET THIS MALARKEY!

    THE KILLERS :cool:

    THE PUNISHER :dance: MATURE CHEDDAR ADDICT:cool:
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    I think it's expected differentials.
  • poppy10_2
    poppy10_2 Posts: 6,597 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    No chance of a rise. HOLD 8-1
    poppy10
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    poppy10 wrote: »
    No chance of a rise. HOLD 8-1

    http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/news/2007/081.htm

    No change
  • free4440273
    free4440273 Posts: 38,438 Forumite
    november: ruled out because it's too close to xmas. october unlikely because i think by then there will be a fairly big market sell-off. that leaves september and just one last possibility of a .50 increase. unlikely? yes. but that would be the only credible thing to do. but they don't have the guts...
    BLOODBATH IN THE EVENING THEN? :shocked: OR PERHAPS THE AFTERNOON? OR THE MORNING? OH, FORGET THIS MALARKEY!

    THE KILLERS :cool:

    THE PUNISHER :dance: MATURE CHEDDAR ADDICT:cool:
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    It might be worth looking at the odds of a Fed cut next time. (Un)employment figures weren't great today.
  • free4440273
    free4440273 Posts: 38,438 Forumite
    ...God knows what that will do to the dollar - could send the dollar index into freefall:eek: , and that's a problem not just for the USA, but for the rest of the world (especially if the pound keeps on rising).
    BLOODBATH IN THE EVENING THEN? :shocked: OR PERHAPS THE AFTERNOON? OR THE MORNING? OH, FORGET THIS MALARKEY!

    THE KILLERS :cool:

    THE PUNISHER :dance: MATURE CHEDDAR ADDICT:cool:
  • nollag2006
    nollag2006 Posts: 2,638 Forumite
    Yup - looking increasingly likely that the next movement will be downward, in line with any Fed cuts.

    Given that house prices now seem to be stabilising, its likely that we’ll see the bank go sideways for a while and then back down again in the new year.

    Fingers crossed, anyway !!
  • Guy_Montag
    Guy_Montag Posts: 2,291 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    10% YoY increase isn't much of a stabilisation in my book, I accept it's better than 20% YoY, but it's still over twice wage inflation.

    I'm still comfortable with my prediction for 6.25% by Jan 2008.
    "Mrs. Pench, you've won the car contest, would you like a triumph spitfire or 3000 in cash?" He smiled.
    Mrs. Pench took the money. "What will you do with it all? Not that it's any of my business," he giggled.
    "I think I'll become an alcoholic," said Betty.
  • Melissa177
    Melissa177 Posts: 1,727 Forumite
    Go on, put your money where your mouth is Guy... ;)

    You can place bets on Betfair for the Sept and Dec rates...
    Errors of opinion may be tolerated where reason is left free to combat it. - Jefferson
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