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Woodford to leave Invesco

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Comments

  • I tend to agree that it should be a mathematical process. There is no accounting for sentiment, Deep Water Horizon events, Libor/market manipulation or alleged bribery though.

    i don't see why there can't be mathematical models of all the above.
  • grizzly1911
    grizzly1911 Posts: 9,965 Forumite
    i don't see why there can't be mathematical models of all the above.


    No reason at all but then you have to decide on probability and likely overall risk to allow you to make a decision.

    As the probability scores for major catastrophes would usually be low the mitigation would tend to be low. The cost of insuring for every eventuality would not make the choices attractive.

    Stuff happens.
    "If you act like an illiterate man, your learning will never stop... Being uneducated, you have no fear of the future.".....

    "big business is parasitic, like a mosquito, whereas I prefer the lighter touch, like that of a butterfly. "A butterfly can suck honey from the flower without damaging it," "Arunachalam Muruganantham
  • Linton
    Linton Posts: 18,344 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Hung up my suit!
    There can be models of investing. But their day to day practical usefulness and the relationship they bear to reality must be somewhat open to question. If there was a good mathematical model of investing then the market would ensure that any future prediction is invalidated, or perhaps self-fulfilled. A believable prediction of a crash in 6 months time would cause a crash now as investors rushed to offload their shares. A guaranteed method of surviving some future likely crash would price itself such that its benefit is marginal. Look at what has happened to bond prices.
  • Is there a cheap tracker that tracks the prices of gas and electricity to consumers?

    Just think you would be almost guaranteed a capital growth of nearly 10% each year the way electricity and gas prices are going.
  • Drp8713
    Drp8713 Posts: 902 Forumite
    Ninth Anniversary 500 Posts
    Is there a cheap tracker that tracks the prices of gas and electricity to consumers?

    Just think you would be almost guaranteed a capital growth of nearly 10% each year the way electricity and gas prices are going.

    Similar to this, The US Dollar is pretty low at the moment, it will have to strengthen at some point.I dont know if there is an ETF that holds USD or if its worth just physically getting some.
  • grizzly1911
    grizzly1911 Posts: 9,965 Forumite
    edited 27 October 2013 at 4:49PM
    Is there a cheap tracker that tracks the prices of gas and electricity to consumers?

    Just think you would be almost guaranteed a capital growth of nearly 10% each year the way electricity and gas prices are going.

    Why would the capital increase by 10%?

    If we believe the energy companies they only make 4/5% at most which gets returned to the investors.

    They only take a cut over an increasing wholesale, distribution and green cost many of which are outside their control apparently. [STRIKE]Who knows they may even invest some as well.[/STRIKE]
    "If you act like an illiterate man, your learning will never stop... Being uneducated, you have no fear of the future.".....

    "big business is parasitic, like a mosquito, whereas I prefer the lighter touch, like that of a butterfly. "A butterfly can suck honey from the flower without damaging it," "Arunachalam Muruganantham
  • TCA
    TCA Posts: 1,621 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    PLI now appears to be on a similar discount to EDIN. Perhaps because Barnett might lose control of it when he takes over Woodford's funds?

    Anyone fancying a punt?
  • TCA
    TCA Posts: 1,621 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    TCA wrote: »
    PLI now appears to be on a similar discount to EDIN. Perhaps because Barnett might lose control of it when he takes over Woodford's funds?

    Anyone fancying a punt?

    No takers? Discounts on both EDIN and PLI widening a bit again. I'm very tempted with PLI but think I'm being seduced by the fact that all other UK income and growth ITs are on premiums.
  • TCA wrote: »
    No takers? Discounts on both EDIN and PLI widening a bit again. I'm very tempted with PLI but think I'm being seduced by the fact that all other UK income and growth ITs are on premiums.

    You have !!!!ssssssyyy poor savings interest rates to thank for that. People abandoning savings accounts for the stock market.
  • coastline
    coastline Posts: 1,662 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    You have !!!!ssssssyyy poor savings interest rates to thank for that. People abandoning savings accounts for the stock market.

    I keep reading about investors looking for a better return due to poor savings rates...they seem to suggest people are shifting their cash to equity income..
    The money invested in fund ISA's has halved in the last year which doesn't seem to give the impression people are shifting from the bank and building society.
    I would guess those familiar with the markets are investing but many others are hanging onto their old ways..

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/investing/10035881/Investment-in-Isa-funds-drops-by-50pc.html

    a few views on Woodford..

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/investing/10381412/Selling-Neil-Woodford-Five-funds-to-consider.html

    http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/investing/article-2461424/Five-best-income-funds-investment-trusts-life-Woodford.html
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