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UK needs +7 Million immigrants to keep debt down

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Comments

  • kabayiri
    kabayiri Posts: 22,740 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts
    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    Resulting in London starting in Brighton and ending in Luton........

    The Judge Dredd Mega City One scenario.

    It's entirely possible. You'd only have to turn London into a Mexico city in terms of size. High rise builds could accommodate all the key workers I guess.
  • TruckerT
    TruckerT Posts: 1,714 Forumite
    Yes.

    With zero net migration debt soars off the charts and the country collapses economically under the burden of aged care.

    With an extra 7m people debt grows to 100% of GDP, but it's just about manageable.

    With an extra 14m people debt falls to 40% of GDP, and the country prospers.

    Hamish, can you guarantee to be able to offer work to all these immigrants?

    According to Antrobus, the OBR report used a notional NAURI figure of unemployment, with no means at all of providing any kind of certainty about the figure. In other words, they guessed.

    TruckerT
    According to Clapton, I am a totally ignorant idiot.
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    kabayiri wrote: »
    The Judge Dredd Mega City One scenario.

    :rotfl:

    Hardly....

    London is 35 miles wide by 27 miles long at the moment.

    To maintain a similar population density as exists today, you would only need to add another 5.5 miles around London to accommodate the full 7 million people.

    If you went vertical, you could do it with 1 mile.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    TruckerT wrote: »
    Hamish, can you guarantee to be able to offer work to all these immigrants?

    :wall:
    According to Antrobus, the OBR report used a notional NAURI figure of unemployment, with no means at all of providing any kind of certainty about the figure. In other words, they guessed.

    So nobody should ever use calculated estimates based on best available data and to an established high degree of accuracy.....

    But rather wait for 100% guarantees, by which time it's too late to avoid catastrophe?

    I think not.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Better get building then.... As the people are coming.

    There simply is no other viable option.

    I thought they werent? This was part of your reasoning that UKIP are so wrong....that the immigrants aren't coming em masse. Now you say they are.
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    I thought they werent? This was part of your reasoning that UKIP are so wrong....that the immigrants aren't coming em masse. Now you say they are.

    140K a year is far too low, and still results in the national debt increasing to 100% of GDP, but it's the OBR's central projection.

    Compared to the last few years of 250K a year, it's pathetically low, and we'll pay the price for this government pandering to UKIP as the national debt will be twice what is would be with higher migration.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Graham_Devon
    Graham_Devon Posts: 58,560 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    140K a year is far too low, and still results in the national debt increasing to 100% of GDP, but it's the OBR's central projection.

    Compared to the last few years of 250K a year, it's pathetically low, and we'll pay the price for this government pandering to UKIP as the national debt will be twice what is would be with higher migration.

    That has nothing to do what what I said.

    You stated that millions of immigrants will be coming. Yet in UKIP threads you claim UKIP are wrong and millions of immigrants won't come.

    Just wondering which it is?
  • cotleigh
    cotleigh Posts: 144 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    Could never be done.

    Equal rights simply wouldn't allow it. For good reason to, it's outright exploitation.

    Germany did this "guest workers" thing for ages. They may still do it, for all I know.

    Loads of Turks went to what was then West Germany to work, as "gastarbeiter" - so they did not become German citizens, they just had the right to live in Germany for a limited period while they worked there.
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    That has nothing to do what what I said.

    You stated that millions of immigrants will be coming. Yet in UKIP threads you claim UKIP are wrong and millions of immigrants won't come.

    Just wondering which it is?

    Ah.... I see what you're muddling on about now.

    You're trying to claim I said we wouldn't ever have millions of immigrants. Which is nonsense.

    What I actually said was that UKIP lied when they tried to mislead the public into thinking several million Romanians and Bulgarians would descend on the UK next year.

    When the actual figure is more likely to be a few tens of thousands.:)
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • grizzly1911
    grizzly1911 Posts: 9,965 Forumite
    it's pathetically low, and we'll pay the price for this government .

    Sounds like one of your housebuilding rants.
    "If you act like an illiterate man, your learning will never stop... Being uneducated, you have no fear of the future.".....

    "big business is parasitic, like a mosquito, whereas I prefer the lighter touch, like that of a butterfly. "A butterfly can suck honey from the flower without damaging it," "Arunachalam Muruganantham
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