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Debate House Prices


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house prises in 5 years or ten years time

24

Comments

  • padington
    padington Posts: 3,121 Forumite
    Houses will go up in £'s but £'s will go down a lot so it might be a case of one step forward, one step back ... Or worse ... Or better.

    Does that help :)
    Proudly voted remain. A global union of countries is the only way to commit global capital to the rule of law.
  • N1AK
    N1AK Posts: 2,903 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts
    scousedave wrote: »
    Where wil the cost of property be in 5 or 10 years time?
    Your thoughts

    Very rough estimates.
    > 5 years time: House prices up 18-22%
    > 10 years time: House prices up ~40%

    Obviously the issue with predicting house prices is that government policy is a big influencer. I don't believe we're going to see any effective steps to deal with the housing shortage so expect prices to rise a little faster than inflation.

    In theory they could increase faster but I think the shrinking disposable incomes and eventual increase in IR will stop that.
    Having a signature removed for mentioning the removal of a previous signature. Blackwhite bellyfeel double plus good...
  • Mallotum_X
    Mallotum_X Posts: 2,591 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    They will probably be different to today.

    Probably too expensive for many, and with a bunch of schemes to assist.

    But at least my own mortgage will be a distant memory... 11 payments to go :)
  • the_flying_pig
    the_flying_pig Posts: 2,349 Forumite
    10 years is way, way, too far ahead to predict.

    who in 1997 would have predicted prices almost tripling within a decade, in a relatively low inflation environment.

    who in 2007 would have predicted that prices [well, who knows, but it doesn't look like 'staying about the same' will be too bad a prediction] within a decade?
    FACT.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Will the UK be struggling with a huge debt burden to service in 10 years time?
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    Will the UK be struggling with a huge debt burden to service in 10 years time?

    Unlikely....

    The National Debt has very rarely been lower than it is today.

    800px-UK_GDP.png
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • fc123
    fc123 Posts: 6,573 Forumite
    Unlikely....

    The National Debt has very rarely been lower than it is today.

    800px-UK_GDP.png

    Gosh, is that true?

    Why was it so high in 1822? Was it because people had less to put in or all the Govt spending on infrastructure (rail/roads etc) I mean, there wasn't a welfare state back then....what was the money spent on?

    I just bought a house built in 1821....and the whole area around it was built within 5 years around that date....I must go google :)
  • the_flying_pig
    the_flying_pig Posts: 2,349 Forumite
    fc123 wrote: »
    ...
    Why was it so high in 1822?...

    aftermath of the napoleonic wars.

    our current debt is really quite high by 'peace'time standards but does pale into insignificance compared to the sort of sums you rack up getting into wars against one of the world powers [occasionally carpet bombing the odd second world country into oblivion is only very moderately expensive, particularly if they have oil]
    FACT.
  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    fc123 wrote: »
    Gosh, is that true?

    It is indeed.

    The national debt has only been lower than it is today for 30-40 years out of the last 350 or so.

    Which does rather put things in perspective.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • Mallotum_X
    Mallotum_X Posts: 2,591 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    However it's not been as high since the 60s.
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