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Ze, 'Ow you say, Deflation Watch. Eurozone edition

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Comments

  • HAMISH_MCTAVISH
    HAMISH_MCTAVISH Posts: 28,592 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    ILW wrote: »
    Enforcement of the debt is another matter, and in this case probably more direct that going to court.

    Well, if Europe disintegrates, you may get to see a lot of that on a slightly larger scale.
    “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie – deliberate, contrived, and dishonest – but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.

    Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.”

    -- President John F. Kennedy”
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    Well, if Europe disintegrates, you may get to see a lot of that on a slightly larger scale.
    Do you think the whole system of expecting debts to be repaid should be sacrificed just to keep the EU limping along.
  • tomterm8
    tomterm8 Posts: 5,892 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    edited 24 May 2013 at 10:52AM
    It seems obvious to me that the fault belongs to both parties, it's not rocket science to acknowledge the fact that interest rates were set at completely the incorrect rates in greece.

    If you can borrow money at half the proper market rate, of course it will set off a huge boom. When the boom collapses, and you then try a contractionary monetary policy, well, there is a reason that Greece has faced a depression.

    None of this is rocket science: both countries are to blame.
    “The ideas of debtor and creditor as to what constitutes a good time never coincide.”
    ― P.G. Wodehouse, Love Among the Chickens
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    tomterm8 wrote: »
    It seems obvious to me that the fault belongs to both parties, it's not rocket science to acknowledge the fact that interest rates were set at completely the incorrect rates in greece.

    If you can borrow money at half the proper market rate, of course it will set off a huge boom. When the boom collapses, and you then try a contractionary monetary policy, well, there is a reason that Greece has faced a depression.

    None of this is rocket science: both countries are to blame.
    Why if cheap money is offered does it have to be taken?
  • tomterm8
    tomterm8 Posts: 5,892 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    ILW wrote: »
    Why if cheap money is offered does it have to be taken?

    Are you serious? In the real world, any CEO of a company who refused to take a loan at substantially below true market rates would be sacked in an quarter. And most nonexperts would just look at a credit agreement, think I can afford that, and take the extremely cheap deal and think they were going to repay it.

    I can't think of any examples where over an economy people have refused cheap money. Can you?
    “The ideas of debtor and creditor as to what constitutes a good time never coincide.”
    ― P.G. Wodehouse, Love Among the Chickens
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    tomterm8 wrote: »
    Are you serious? In the real world, any CEO of a company who refused to take a loan at substantially below true market rates would be sacked in an quarter. And most nonexperts would just look at a credit agreement, think I can afford that, and take the extremely cheap deal and think they were going to repay it.

    I can't think of any examples where over an economy people have refused cheap money. Can you?

    And when it all went belly up as the company could not make the payments, they would go bust, he would get the sack and all the workers would probably lose their jobs.
    Borrowing even cheap money without the means to repay even the interest is a daft (and probably criminal) thing to do.
    This is what Greek governments have done and put their own people into dire straits by doing it without addressing the taxation issues need to make payments.
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    Triffid wrote: »
    The problem with you is that you lack the ability to see the bigger picture and how everything is inter-related. Hamish explained but you just can't see the wood 'cause of the trees.

    I see no reason to muddy the waters. Do not borrow money you have no way of servicing is a pretty good starting point. Do you dispute that?

    Yes the Greek people are suffering, but their own elected governments took them into that state.
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    Triffid wrote: »
    No but a Greek pensioner is not able to change the policy of her/his own Govmt either and there is a word called COMPASSION!

    Fair point, possibly start sending aid to Greece rather than Africa and India.

    Don't just keep saying it's all the Germans fault though.
  • tomterm8
    tomterm8 Posts: 5,892 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    Who said they thought they wouldn't be able to repay it? Governments, peoples, companies all share two things: none of them are rational agents, and none of them are acting in efficient markets.

    Germany, as a whole, had access to the same information as greece, and Germany thought Greece could repay the money.
    “The ideas of debtor and creditor as to what constitutes a good time never coincide.”
    ― P.G. Wodehouse, Love Among the Chickens
  • ILW
    ILW Posts: 18,333 Forumite
    tomterm8 wrote: »
    Who said they thought they wouldn't be able to repay it? Governments, peoples, companies all share two things: none of them are rational agents, and none of them are acting in efficient markets.

    Germany, as a whole, had access to the same information as greece, and Germany thought Greece could repay the money.
    But Germany do not owe the money.
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