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Base rate to rise in 2013?

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  • grizzly1911
    grizzly1911 Posts: 9,965 Forumite
    Thrugelmir wrote: »
    Only 6 institutions have requested funds from the BOE under the funding for lending scheme. So doesn't appear to be a huge appetite from lenders to increase their mortgage lending books.

    Is really any demand apart form a few hotspots?
    "If you act like an illiterate man, your learning will never stop... Being uneducated, you have no fear of the future.".....

    "big business is parasitic, like a mosquito, whereas I prefer the lighter touch, like that of a butterfly. "A butterfly can suck honey from the flower without damaging it," "Arunachalam Muruganantham
  • The economists predicting a possible rate rise in 2013 are describing what might be on the cards in a sane word where the overall long term benefit of the economy were the paramount consideration.

    The world we live in however is one where the short term electoral prospects of the government is the paramount consideration. They are therefore likely to pursue policies of inflating away debt, chasing the yoof vote, and rewarding the profligate at the expense of the prudent.

    Therefore I would agree that a rate rise in 2013 is fairly long odds.
    No-one would remember the Good Samaritan if he'd only had good intentions. He had money as well.

    The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.

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  • buglawton
    buglawton Posts: 9,246 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Generali wrote: »
    It's possible. Simplistically, the world's economy is based around supplying American consumers with the things that they want to buy. It is quite that the US economy is going to get a lot better very quickly: fracking has opened up a very cheap source of energy that opens up the chance for a lot of American companies to bring production back on shore. The problems in the US housing market are a long way towards being resolved and the banks are in better shape than at any point since 2007.

    I can see how the US consumer could pull all of us out of the mire. It's not a certainty but only a fool would dismiss it out of hand as impossible.

    So the UK will stand on the sidelines watching while the U.S. booms away. At least we've got our windmills to play with.

    I dismiss an interest rise in the UK in 2013 out of hand as impossible.
  • purch
    purch Posts: 9,865 Forumite
    Base rate to rise in 2013?

    No........................
    'In nature, there are neither rewards nor punishments - there are Consequences.'
  • brit1234
    brit1234 Posts: 5,385 Forumite
    buglawton wrote: »
    So the UK will stand on the sidelines watching while the U.S. booms away.

    The US won't boom away, they have too many demons to face up to. It's all smoke and mirrors with the can constantly kicked. Watch Freddie and fannie mac for one nightmare.

    They won't raise interest rates, however if we are too recover it is what we need.
    :exclamatiScams - Shared Equity, Shared Ownership, Newbuy, Firstbuy and Help to Buy.

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  • sabretoothtigger
    sabretoothtigger Posts: 10,036 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Combo Breaker
    edited 26 December 2012 at 10:41PM
    The answer to this already was on the front page. FED keeps rates low till 2014, we are copying them so you know the weather is fine all next year :j :p

    You have to be a radical now to believe central banks dont control the worth of money for years into the future and they said explicitly it'll be cheap for the benefit of business
    howee wrote: »
    Rate rise 2013 go to the bookies I bet they
    would give you long odd's

    Interest rate swaps is big business. One simple bet would be to go buy Aussie dollars and sell Sterling to do so, no bookie required and you can keep the cash either way.

    Their rates are lowest for years at 3.25% base I think

    http://www.xe.com/currency/aud-australian-dollar
    buglawton wrote: »
    So the UK will stand on the sidelines watching while the U.S. booms away. At least we've got our windmills to play with.

    I dismiss an interest rise in the UK in 2013 out of hand as impossible.

    The USA is poorer then us by my reckoning. Nothing is impossible is the problem they are tackling, their actions were wanting certainty and profit and thats much closer to impossible

    8312360980_8ba4dc95c8.jpg
  • padington
    padington Posts: 3,121 Forumite
    If they raised the interest rates In the US significantly then even more sub primers will go belly under, which could bring down more banks. Interest rates can't go up until the housing market in the US rises significantly to buffer those with a weak hand or until the banks can cover a significant loss themselves.

    That's my read of it anyway. I reckon we'll not see the return of high interest rates for those reasons for many years to come. This will in turn compound a situation where new buyers and organisations expect tiny interest rates for years and compound the inability to raise the rates as we build more around a low interest rate future.
    Proudly voted remain. A global union of countries is the only way to commit global capital to the rule of law.
  • padington wrote: »
    If they raised the interest rates In the US significantly then even more sub primers will go belly under, which could bring down more banks. Interest rates can't go up until the housing market in the US rises significantly to buffer those with a weak hand or until the banks can cover a significant loss themselves.

    That's my read of it anyway. I reckon we'll not see the return of high interest rates for those reasons for many years to come. This will in turn compound a situation where new buyers and organisations expect tiny interest rates for years and compound the inability to raise the rates as we build more around a low interest rate future.

    I agree. Ultra-low rates are here to stay for a long time, regardless of the eventual consequences and damage it may cause. I wouldn't be surprised to see a new asset bubble emerging in a few years time.
    Hi, we’ve had to remove your signature. If you’re not sure why please read the forum rules or email the forum team if you’re still unsure - MSE ForumTeam
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    buglawton wrote: »
    So the UK will stand on the sidelines watching while the U.S. booms away. At least we've got our windmills to play with.

    The USA is controlled by those with vested interests. So despite it's shortcomings. Give me UK style economic policies any day.
  • buglawton
    buglawton Posts: 9,246 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Phew! Thank goodness we have no vested interests exerting influence in the U.K. then.
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