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talk of end of year property crash in London...

what are people's thoughts on the matter.... apparently for every house there are 8 buyers.... so pushing prices up...
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Comments

  • mystic_trev
    mystic_trev Posts: 5,434 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    2008 According to Fred Harrison.

    Sometime soon according to mystic_trev
  • Tbh, there's been talk of a property crash every year for years. I don't take any notice anymore.

    You can tell for yourself when the market is slow and when it's fast. As far as I'm concerned, it's irresponsible to keep making these predictions (because that's all they are, at the end of the day - only time will tell what's going to happen) - it causes panic, it mucks up the market and could well cause a problem by its' scaremongering.

    Use your own intuition - and remember that there's always a mid year and end of year lull, it doesn't mean it's all going bits up though :)
  • pennypuppy
    pennypuppy Posts: 722 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 500 Posts Combo Breaker
    I think a lot of people still remember the price crash in the 80's and living in London at the time was bad, I used to walk the 2 miles to work because I got fed up with them scraping the people off the tube tracks. The reports were inevitably of people defaulting on mortgages etc, they seemed normal people, just caught up in a situation which had gone crazy. Practically every economist admits the market is overheated and there will be a downturn, the question is will it be a soft landing or a crash. God forbid.
    Also remember at one stage the interest rate was something like 18%.
    Also with Alan Greenspan scaring the wits out of America and the reports the last few days about the USA defaults on mortgages - it doesn't look good. After all when america coughs........
  • Deals_2
    Deals_2 Posts: 2,410 Forumite
    who is fred harrison?
    2008 According to Fred Harrison.

    Sometime soon according to mystic_trev
  • ManAtHome
    ManAtHome Posts: 8,512 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    Deals wrote: »
    what are people's thoughts on the matter.... apparently for every house there are 8 buyers.... so pushing prices up...
    LOL yes - 2 Russian gangsters, 1 each American, Japanese, Chinese, Colombian, Nigerian, and Romanian gangsters... (sorry if I missed anyone).

    Serious point is that todays assets are tomorrows debts - are UK salaries eventually going to catch up with property prices (and who's going to buy from us if they do), or will property revert to "ye goode olde dayes" (thanks NuEdwardian party**) where next to nobody can actuallly flog it, so they're stuck with donating IHT every generation.

    ** I'm not really going to be affected by NuEdwardians/Lab(lol), but I do think they have stuffed the country for many years to come.
  • Melissa177
    Melissa177 Posts: 1,727 Forumite
    This "8 buyers for every house business" sounds suspicious.

    How is this calculated? Is this estate agents saying how many buyers are registered with them, vs the number of properties that they have on their books? I suspect it is. If so, this is an inaccurate figure, as many buyers are registered with lots and lots of EAs.

    They've been predicting a crash for the past five years. If you house is your home, you paid the price the market dictated at the time. As long as you can afford the mortgage, then there is no need to worry. There has been no five year period in the UK when house prices have gone down -but if you're really worried, why not start saving for a rainy day, if it comes?
    Errors of opinion may be tolerated where reason is left free to combat it. - Jefferson
  • nelly_2
    nelly_2 Posts: 17,863 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    8 buyers to every house <
    okie dokie

    Theres a reason why only the truely stupid belive anything an estate agent says.

    Intresting viewing :)
  • lazygoose
    lazygoose Posts: 22 Forumite
    nelly wrote: »
    8 buyers to every house <
    okie dokie

    Theres a reason why only the truely stupid belive anything an estate agent says.

    Intresting viewing :)

    Yep... apparently it's a load of Polish workers earning £5 per hour buying them?:rotfl:
  • Generali
    Generali Posts: 36,411 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    8 people want to buy a house for each one on the market I assume, 7 can't afford it.

    250 people want to buy each Ferrari on the market. I'm one of the 249 without the readies.
  • ravenfield
    ravenfield Posts: 151 Forumite
    It will be pretty soon we'll see on newspaper headline

    "Bank now offer mortgage at 7 times salary"

    Somehow i felt the same as majority of ppl in the market, the house market will never crash because the interest is no where near 18% and there are 8 buyers for 1 house. think my last resort is get a job elsewhere and move out of the UK.
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