2010 predictions thread.....

DaddyBear

1. Tory Government.
2. Interest rates remain below 1%.
3. House prices static.
4. Out of recession Q4 2009, back into recession Q4 2010.
5. Pound falls to parity with Euro.
6. Hamish makes over 3,000 posts and starts 500 threads based on selected sections of questionable articles.
7. England go out of the world cup in the quarter finals and lose the first ashes test.

nembot

I predict 2010 will not be as fantastic as Hamish reckons...

:cool:

markharding557

A hung parliment is fine with me,a cameron lead government with the restraining hand of the lib dems doen't sound bad to me.

Emy1501

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

So just to be clear....

Your prediction is that one of the major parties will create a purely fictional manifesto, outlining policies they have no intention of honouring once elected. That they already have a "secret agenda" for massive cuts.

And that once elected, Cameron will produce an emergency budget with huge cuts almost immediately, and that this will go far further than the manifesto, in fact, it will run contrary to the manifesto and pre-election promises, which are already committed to job creation and savings through public sector pay freezes, not mass redundancies.

And that these cuts will include mass public sector redundancies, and all this will cause house prices to fall off a cliff.

Is that right? Just so we are clear and all... Because whilst you have not yet specifically stated some of that, you have disagreed with my analysis and Camerons own words, and stated you think he is lying. And the opposite of what I said, would be the above....

As I'd like to come back to this thread in 7 months and make you eat a very large slice of humble pie....;)

Hamish if you want to bookmark this thread and come back in 7 month and say I told you so good luck to you. I can guarantee you though that if you are proved wrong I won't be dragging it up

I have not said Cameron is lying, what I have said is that if he needs to cut loads of jobs hes hardly going to tell us in January with an election within 6 months. I'm sure if he is asked to guarantee that public sector jobs will not be cut in the future he will duck and dive the question. The reality is the markets will dictate to the UK exactly what cuts etc are needed like they have in Ireland and Greece. We may not need vast cuts but no one can say that with any certainty now Hamish. So why come out and tell the public we will need to do this when QE may work etc and the need for massive cuts may not be needed? Both parties are telling the public what they want to hear at the moment. Of course your bold bit started after the word intended I wonder why that was. Maybe because the word intended is not fact or a guarantee and it does not mean he has committed to anything.

Also where is the manifesto you refer to as I have not seen it yet?

The chief exec of the Trinity Mirror group was on the TV a couple of weeks ago and even she admitted that neither Labours or the Tories suggested cuts for spending go far enough. The guests including Philip Green said we need to know the truth and cuts will have to go alot further. No disresepct Hamish but I prefer predictions of these people than yours.

The guests were also asked to give predictions for 2010. Philip Green's was retail in the first six months of 2010 would be no better than 2009 and the secobd half would depend on the results of the election. Terry Smith of Tullett Prebon predicted a gilt strike and sterling crisis which Jeff Randall agreed with. Sly Baileys was that there would be a Royal Wedding. I wonder why she did not have an economic one?

Now Hamish I've asked before what qualifies you to tell people what will and won't be happening in the future. Your predictions at the end of 2008 did not come right.

Hamish your predictions are nothing more than a wish list no different than my wish for Arsenal to win the league. It may happen but if it does it does not make me a footballing expert. If yours come true it will be nothing more than luck.

tomterm8

I like doing outrageous predictions. What the ****, I can always come back and edit them later:

1. Labour or National Government.
2. Interest rates remain below 1%.
3. House prices rise.
4. Out of recession Q4 2009, remains out of technical recession* for all of 2010.
5. England wins ashes **

now for the ones that are very borderline:

6. VAT rises to 20%. Many indirect taxes squeezed. Pension age increased to at least 67 years old. Cuts to public services amounting to 7% of GDP over 3 years anounced. Many bankers leave, like rats leaving a sinking ship, to other shores.
7. One or more eurozone nation to go to IMF, probably out of greece, spain, or ireland.



* two consecutive quarters of negative growth
** I know nothing about cricket

amcluesent

Serious warnings over food security in England

"Britain must produce more food to avoid going hungry in the future, the Government will warn this week. A soaring global population, climate change, diminishing energy sources and depleted fish stocks mean that society can no longer be complacent about its ability to feed itself, the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) will say."

No surprise about that. All fits in with the pattern of about a decade of warnings, 'blips' and one-off panics before we slip into two decades of sustained economic collapse.

HammerSmashedFace

amcluesent wrote: »

Serious warnings over food security in England

"Britain must produce more food to avoid going hungry in the future, the Government will warn this week. A soaring global population, climate change, diminishing energy sources and depleted fish stocks mean that society can no longer be complacent about its ability to feed itself, the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) will say."

No surprise about that. All fits in with the pattern of about a decade of warnings, 'blips' and one-off events before we slip into two decades of sustained economic collapse.

Luckily for governments, there maximum range of thinking is 5 years. Thinking of consequences that are on the horizon in a decade or so may as well be 200 years away, and example of this was Clown wanting the Saudis to 'pump more oil' when it was at $147 a barrel, the idiot either didn't realise that they couldn't, or he did know that they couldn't and is a liar.

Either one doesn't bode well for the future.

Emy1501

HAMISH_MCTAVISH wrote: »

So just to be clear....

Your prediction is that one of the major parties will create a purely fictional manifesto, outlining policies they have no intention of honouring once elected. That they already have a "secret agenda" for massive cuts.

And that once elected, Cameron will produce an emergency budget with huge cuts almost immediately, and that this will go far further than the manifesto, in fact, it will run contrary to the manifesto and pre-election promises, which are already committed to job creation and savings through public sector pay freezes, not mass redundancies.

And that these cuts will include mass public sector redundancies, and all this will cause house prices to fall off a cliff.

Is that right? Just so we are clear and all... Because whilst you have not yet specifically stated some of that, you have disagreed with my analysis and Camerons own words, and stated you think he is lying. And the opposite of what I said, would be the above....

As I'd like to come back to this thread in 7 months and make you eat a very large slice of humble pie....;)

So he wants to cut the deficit as soon as possible wants to go further than Labour with the cuts and get the deficit down much quicker. When pressed on the suggested cut announced did not go far enough he accepted that but was not prepared to fully outline plans till Labour start to outline theirs. Also does not want the increase in NI contributions. I wonder how he is going to do all this

With Darling now starting to admit the truth DC can now start telling us whats really going to happen.

I suspect I won't be eating too much humble pie in the near future Hamish:D

jojo1964

I only make one prediction, Labour to win the next election.

Despite the fact that the Tories should be so far ahead, and should be in a position to be virtually demanding an immediate election, i have my doubts that the public will vote Cameron in.

carolt

And I predict that you're wrong.

Short of Cameron being found in Soho in a short skirt propositioning journalists whilst self-injecting heroin, I don't think they're going to lose the next election.

I'm not claiming a landslide. But of course the Tories will win.

There's only so far you can bribe people at the last minute and expect them to forget everything else.