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Pensions Planning: The NUMBER
Comments
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I know there are tools available but I found it worthwhile to run a few simple macro scenarios for reassurance before pulling the plug on earned income. I didn't need it to be too granular or complex so I just created a spreadsheet that modelled a few scenarios (equity correction = x%, y%, z% which lasts n, n+1 years etc) focussing on the first decade of retirement (specifically covering the period to SP age when guaranteed income is a relatively low %age of need). I wanted to test what those scenarios would do to the required withdrawal rate.
That reassured that with the current asset allocation, an equity correction of up to 50% taking up to 7 years to get back to where it was, was survivable without pushing the withdrawal rate above a level I was comfortable with.
Obviously having only retired a year ago, I haven't yet discovered what my emotional reaction to a significant equity correction in decumulation would be, but rationally I know that it'll probably work out ok.
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I couldn’t handle that stress particularly as for me a big reduction before my state pension kicks in in seven years would be particularly painful. As a result I’ve used 50% of my DC to buy an annuity. Added to my other DBs it is a good guaranteed income, particularly as I have 25% of that as tax free cash to offset the missing state pension.
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