Shall we have our own 12 month house price survey then?

Cleaver

vivatifosi wrote: »

Just for you Cleaver. I don't think that the problems that we face will have had the chance to work their way into the market by then (eg higher interest rates potentially pushing prices down), so I'm going to go for +2.8%. I haven't read anyone else's so as not to get ideas, with the view that they may fall a bit still longer term.

I went for 2.8% as well viva. The phrase is either 'great minds thinks alike' or 'fools seldom differ'.

vivatifosi

Probably the latter then

treliac

Excuse me, I'm just going back to the beginning to see what the question is -

(Thanks for the thanks's before I'd actually answered!)

Yes, it's definitely down for me. I don't feel like a bear but s'pose that's what I've turned into. You maybe don't require an explanation but I'm sticking with my 'Brown holding back the tidal wave until after the election' theory.

With nothing tangible going on to really recommend a recovery, with artificially low interest rates, with a whole load of unaffordable/potentially unserviceable debt still out there and with banks continuing to lack the appetite to lend -

It's -7% for treliac.

Obviously no real idea but it's a number no-one else has gone for yet, so good enough. And I really do reckon there's further to fall

bo_drinker

- 12% . But it depends whether the government does x y or z. (what ever that is), but I am sure there is a lot riding on it.....

carolt

lostinrates wrote: »

Grr. I should have bought the rights to fence sitting and leased spaces out.

You could be a fence BTL multimillionaire now.

ess0two

carolt wrote: »

So true. I don't think anything interesting will occur till after the election.

Still, I'll oblige with -8% down, just because there's been a slight blip over the summer, which I can't see being maintained over the winter in the face of rising unemployment.

Plus departing Labour are bound to want to make sure that the chalice they hand over is as poisoned as possible. :eek:

Cynical, but sadly, I do think this.

Seems to be last chance saloon,many are hoping a change in government will plunge the housing market into despair.

Graham_Devon

Trouble is, I don't know what's around the corner in terms of stimulus, so have given up predictions. Any predictions with a thought process are reduced to complete guff by a desperate government.

But, if we carry on as we are now, with the current stimulus drying up, and no more, -7.5%

Cleaver

Graham_Devon wrote: »

Trouble is, I don't know what's around the corner in terms of stimulus, so have given up predictions. Any predictions with a thought process are reduced to complete guff by a desperate government.

But, if we carry on as we are now, with the current stimulus drying up, and no more, -7.5%

The 'desperate government' will always just be one of many variables in a complex financial world Mr Devon.

Graham_Devon

Cleaver wrote: »

The 'desperate government' will always just be one of many variables in a complex financial world Mr Devon.

Really? I didn't know that.

Can I still stick with -7.5% though?

carolt

ess0two wrote: »

Seems to be last chance saloon,many are hoping a change in government will plunge the housing market into despair.

And many are hoping the reverse.