Swine 'flu - What economic impact?

amcluesent

Harley Street!

mewbie_2

Superdrug and some Tesco outlets are already selling Tamiflu. It's in the aisle where they have stuff like headache pills and so on. Keep it to yourself, we don't want to start a panic.

Cleaver

mewbie wrote: »

Superdrug and some Tesco outlets are already selling Tamiflu. It's in the aisle where they have stuff like headache pills and so on. Keep it to yourself, we don't want to start a panic.

In true MSE style, I'll wait until it's 2 for 1 or on some form of clubcard offer.

mewbie_2

Cleaver wrote: »

In true MSE style, I'll wait until it's 2 for 1 or on some form of clubcard offer.

You're right, this time next year it'll be dead cheap. Might knock Yo!Sushi off the offers page.

misskool

tomterm8 wrote: »

Misskool, do you think the computer models have a reasonable chance of being correct? As someone whose done some work in computer modelling in other fields, I'm very skeptical of the ability to model emerging phenomina like viruses.

Computer models work the same across all fields

The more data there is, the better the model. There isn't quite so much data on swine flu so the data is less accurate than something that's been thoroughly mapped.

Cleaver

mewbie wrote: »

You're right, this time next year it'll be dead cheap.

If this were avian flu I would be doing some form of joke around the words 'dead' and 'cheep'. It's not though.

bo_drinker

http://cgi.ebay.com/Influenza-Swine-com-Domain-Name-Medical-tamiflu_W0QQitemZ260443948582QQcmdZViewItemQQptZLH_DefaultDomain_0?hash=item3ca3ab4626&_trksid=p3286.c0.m14&_trkparms=65%3A12%7C66%3A2%7C39%3A1%7C72%3A1234%7C293%3A1%7C294%3A50

misskool

themanbearpig wrote: »

Most would pick the later. The fact they are rushing through a vaccine just shows that it isn't quite as harmless they want the masses to believe.

If people start dieing everyday, people will stop going to work or leaving their houses, just like in Mexico, and the economy will grind to a halt.

Sadly for you, the vaccine will have been created for this virus, with low death rates. If the virus mutates and becomes more virulent, it doesn't matter if you have the vaccine or not.

chewmylegoff

misskool wrote: »

Sadly for you, the vaccine will have been created for this virus, with low death rates. If the virus mutates and becomes more virulent, it doesn't matter if you have the vaccine or not.

i've seen this said a few times now, whilst it is possible, it is not necessarily true. the vaccine will work by making the body produce antibodies which recognise the virus' outer coat. therefore the vaccine will only not work if the mutation that causes it to become more virulent materially changes the viral coat such that antibodies produced in response to the vaccine no longer recognise it.

Mexas

misskool wrote: »

Sadly for you, the vaccine will have been created for this virus, with low death rates. If the virus mutates and becomes more virulent, it doesn't matter if you have the vaccine or not.

Or it becomes resistant to the vaccine? i believe they've already had cases that tamiflu didnt work.