Clown's adminstration tottering - election soon?

Generali

My money is on an election in the second half of the year (literally not metaphorically). My reasoning is that there is a chance that QE will appear to be working by then but it should be too soon for it and decreased interest rates to have fed through to high inflation.

I hope Labour win. It'll destroy them.

PS The YouGov poll which is my preferred one shows a 7 point Tory lead over Labour - 41-34%. It's worth making the point that opinion polls overstate Tory support due to people being embarassed to tell a pollster that they are going to vote Tory. There is a definite case to be made that actually these days people are embarassed to admit to voting Labour. I think the adjustment is quite large - 2 or 3% (although I'm not sure). Labour may not be as far behind as people think!

lostinrates

Generali wrote: »

Labour may not be as far behind as people think!

I think thats a very possible thing. People hate "rich (Tory) bankers" and "rich (Tory) fat cats" as much as they hate "rich politicians" of all persuasions. Hate and jealousy is a very powerful motivator IMO

StevieJ

ad9898 wrote: »

There is likely to be more truth in the article, than the completely made up stuff that Labour were planning to smear the Tories with.

So it is not all the Labour party who wished to participate in Tory smearing, with a hint that may also include Brown.
Looks like someone is being hung out to dry, and judging by your reactions it is working.


The whistleblower, who has never spoken to the media before, was prompted to speak out through loyalty to Brown and the Labour party

Repeatedly protected McBride when colleagues called for him to be sacked

nvestigations by The Sunday Times have revealed that before the e-mail scandal, at least eight senior government figures urged Brown to dismiss McBride

ad9898_3

I think Labour are finished, look at the headlines this morning, the longer they hold onto power now, the longer they will be in the wilderness, their policies heve been disasterous for the country, they have turned the benefit system into a career path, they have presided over the biggest housing bubble in history when Brown in particular said in 1997 that he wouldn't let it happen.

Their borrowing and spending is out of control to the extent that a generation of people are going to be picking up the tab, it wouldn't be so bad, but he's doing it all for the overindebted, spend, spend, spend idiots who lied on their mortgage applications, who thought a 8x salary mortgage was a good thing etc...etc...

StevieJ

ad9898 wrote: »

but he's doing it all for the overindebted, spend, spend, spend idiots who lied on their mortgage applications, who thought a 8x salary mortgage was a good thing etc...etc...

I have told you a million times not to exaggerate

ad9898_3

StevieJ wrote: »

I have told you a million times not to exaggerate

I wasn't I was being conservative with my post.:D

lostinrates

ad9898 wrote: »

I think Labour are finished,...........

Did people say similar about the conservative's in the 1990s? I just don't know -its not a loaded query.:o

ad9898_3

lostinrates wrote: »

Did people say similar about the conservative's in the 1990s? I just don't know -its not a loaded query.:o

If they carry on slipping on every banana skin that they can see, the majority they will lose by will keep them out for at least 2 GE's, and if Salmond gets his way in Scotland, Labour will never ever be elected again, it's only the Scots keeping their heads above the water.

Generali

lostinrates wrote: »

Did people say similar ain bout the conservative's in the 1990s? I just don't know -its not a loaded query.

People certainly said the same thing about Labour after 1983.

I don't think that the Tories last time managed to balls everything up quite as monumentally as Labour have done this and last time.

Ok, there was the Poll Tax but it was reversed quickly - it's remembered still but doesn't really come up in the same way as the Winter of Discontent did even in the 1990s.

The early 80s recession is what the previous Tory administration is reviled for but that is only really in Northern and Celtic mining and industrial areas - hardly constituencies likely to vote Tory anyway.

It's starting to look like this Labour administration could carry the can for the whole credit crunch/banking thing. If they do then this could destroy them as the opposition party - if the Lib Dems come second at the next election it'll be mighty tough for Labour to return.

Generali

ad9898 wrote: »

If they carry on slipping on every banana skin that they can see, the majority they will lose by will keep them out for at least 2 GE's, and if Salmond gets his way in Scotland, Labour will never ever be elected again, it's only the Scots keeping their heads above the water.

IIRC, Labour would never have been to form a majority Government from English, Welsh and Northern Irish constituencies from previous election results.

If Scotland leaves the union, Labour will either be forced to move a very long way to the right (even from Tony Blair's position) or face electoral destruction.