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Panicking slightly - can people please convince me this is a good thing

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  • PasturesNew
    PasturesNew Posts: 70,698 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    I'm curled up on the sofa with a bag of wine gums.
    :)
  • mewbie_2
    mewbie_2 Posts: 6,058 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    I'm curled up on the sofa with a bag of wine gums.
    :)
    Now that's comfort! To Carole, and others worrying. Stop focusing on it for a while, let it blow by. It's a bit like worrying about a nuclear war, nothing we can do about it anyway. Just keep on working, saving money, don't make big financial commitments and with fingers crossed we will get through it unscathed.

    A bag of wine gums might be just the thing.
  • carolt wrote: »
    Trying to view current economic situation calmly, but finding it hard, as news is just one thing after another.

    Short of taking deep breaths, can anyone older and wiser (or indeed younger and calmer) please explain gently why this is all a Good Thing or why it's better to get it all out of the way, or some such.

    Could really do with some optimism.

    Alternatively, does anyone know any funny stories or irrelevant but cheery anecdotes to take my mind off the sound of dominoes falling, houses of cards crashing etc.

    Please.
    I'm afraid it's as bad as it sounds, carolt.

    I honestly think we're entering uncharted territories here but I see a few things to be positive about:
    • You don't owe hundreds of thousands of pounds on a rapidly depreciating asset
    • If you lose your job and find another elsewhere then you only have to give a few months notice before you can move and start it rather than have to try and sell a rapidly depreciating asset before or after
    • If the UK economy goes t!ts up you can emigrate to a more robust economy as you have no financial obligations to hold you back here
    Not much, granted, but silver linings nonetheless.
  • StevieJ
    StevieJ Posts: 20,174 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Why do people persist in saying how brilliant they were in forecasting the UK problems
    that are related to UK stupid lenders, mewing etc. The problems we are experiencing do relate to the housing market but it was the US housing market and the related CDO'S etc and I am sure most people were not aware of the toxic nature back in 2005.
    'Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers visible or invisible giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the worlds wealthiest and most prosperous people' Margaret Thatcher
  • mewbie wrote: »
    Now that's comfort! To Carole, and others worrying. Stop focusing on it for a while, let it blow by. It's a bit like worrying about a nuclear war, nothing we can do about it anyway. Just keep on working, saving money, don't make big financial commitments and with fingers crossed we will get through it unscathed.

    A bag of wine gums might be just the thing.
    I'm going for just the wine!

    And I'm stocking up while I can! I remember my dad used to make his own wine because it was so expensive! No thanks - I'm turning the spare room into a wine cellar.

    I've got my duck and cover sorted. ;)
  • StevieJ wrote: »
    Why do people persist in saying how brilliant they were in forecasting the UK problems.

    Because its the truth.

    Back in 2005-2006, we (in the UK) had average house prices 8 or 9 times the average wage. We had banks providing mortgages of over 100%. We saw some banks granting mortgages 10 times income. We had house price inflation of 10% with a GDP of 2%.

    A similar story was being played out in the USA.

    Those fundamentals can only exist in the short-term. They could never continue for the long term. Whilst exact tops and fall-outs are impossible to predict many correctly saw that at some stage a bear market would happen and that due to the large amount of debt in the system the bear market would be bad when it hit.
    "Brevity is the soul of wit and it is also the essence of effective communication" Rush Limbaugh.
  • WTF?_2
    WTF?_2 Posts: 4,592 Forumite
    StevieJ wrote: »
    Why do people persist in saying how brilliant they were in forecasting the UK problems
    that are related to UK stupid lenders, mewing etc. The problems we are experiencing do relate to the housing market but it was the US housing market and the related CDO'S etc and I am sure most people were not aware of the toxic nature back in 2005.


    Because plenty of people even a year ago were telling us that we 'bears' were nuts for calling an end to house price rises, substantial falls and an economy about to hit the rocks.

    I only started to look into this whole thing at the end of 2006 when I wondered why houses were so stupidly priced upon my return to the UK and it was pretty immediately obvious after 2-3 hours of surfing that things were going to end very badly indeed in the relatively (2-3 years) near term.

    Why other people, the majority as it happens, couldn't see this on the 'House Buying, Renting & Selling' when lots of us people who could read the writing on the wall started posting in earnest, I'll never be quite sure.

    Posting on this group you learn a lot more about human nature than sound economics it seems. I've learned that many people desperately do want to look the other way if they think there's a one-way-bet and people desperately do want to believe 'too good to be true' economic fairytales :rolleyes:
    --
    Every pound less borrowed (to buy a house) is more than two pounds less to repay and more than three pounds less to earn, over the course of a typical mortgage.
  • Guy_Montag
    Guy_Montag Posts: 2,291 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    Relax, worrying about this isn't going to help the situation - it's entirely out of our hands.

    Have a cup of tea, then take a hot bath, with a bottle of ros!!. Have a gentleman friend pop round to soap your back (£50/day + expenses ;))
    "Mrs. Pench, you've won the car contest, would you like a triumph spitfire or 3000 in cash?" He smiled.
    Mrs. Pench took the money. "What will you do with it all? Not that it's any of my business," he giggled.
    "I think I'll become an alcoholic," said Betty.
  • Incisor
    Incisor Posts: 2,271 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    carolt wrote: »
    ... Short of taking deep breaths, can anyone older and wiser (or indeed younger and calmer) please explain gently why this is all a Good Thing or why it's better to get it all out of the way, or some such.

    Could really do with some optimism.
    Dunno Carol. In itself, it is far from a Good Thing. The Bad Thing was the mutually stupid lending and borrowing. What we have now is the inevitable consequences. Painful as it is, it does mean that we are moving on from the Bad Thing.
    After the uprising of the 17th June The Secretary of the Writers Union
    Had leaflets distributed in the Stalinallee Stating that the people
    Had forfeited the confidence of the government And could win it back only
    By redoubled efforts. Would it not be easier In that case for the government
    To dissolve the people
    And elect another?
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