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interest rate predictions 2008/9

got the choice between a fixed rate or a BOE tracker, with the recent reduction in rates they are now more or less the same cost. always had BOE tracker up to now, the fixed rate is for two years. my gut feeling is that rates might go down 0.25% later this year but with the doom and gloom predictions are they likely to go up in 2009 to curb inflation? anyone got a crystal ball?
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Comments

  • Treadmill
    Treadmill Posts: 1,102 Forumite
    Rates will go as low as 3.50-3.75% before creeping back up slowly, I reckon it will be at least 2010 before they hit the level that they are now again, I'd plumb for a tracker myself.
  • Dan_Collins_2
    Dan_Collins_2 Posts: 1,377 Forumite
    Why would they go that low. Rates that low gotus in this mess. I think 1 more drop unless the BOE relise that it makes no odd before then. Then they have to go up, inflation is going to hit us hard!
    :confused:
  • glen8
    glen8 Posts: 212 Forumite
    NOBODY knows

    I've always played it safe and gone with the best fixed rate deal I could find
  • Dan_Collins_2
    Dan_Collins_2 Posts: 1,377 Forumite
    glen8 wrote: »
    NOBODY knows

    I've always played it safe and gone with the best fixed rate deal I could find

    I think you have a good point. People try and beat the bank and end up not sleeping at night! You have to do what is right for you!
    :confused:
  • confused31_2
    confused31_2 Posts: 1,272 Forumite
    To be honest your not gonna beat the banks now, no matter what the bank of england rates are i dont think in the next few years that banks are going to be giving away great deals.

    The hsbc will match your fixed rate for 2 years but they charge a big fee, the only people in the short term who will gain will be the ones who are already on a tracker mortgage, but them deals will come to an end and then they will have pay a lot more.

    its not looking to clever:eek:

    confused31
    I am not a Mortgage Adviser
    You should note that this site doesn't check my status as not being a Mortgage Adviser, so you need to take my word for it. Any posts on here are for information and discussion purposes only and shouldn't be seen as financial advice.
  • Bismarck
    Bismarck Posts: 2,598 Forumite
    ~I'd go fixed and get some sleep at night too.

    Rates may go down but it makes b*****r-all difference in the way they want to brag about most and with inflation sliding up, whether they try and hide it or not, I suspect interest rates will be over 6% at this time next year just to try and keep the lid on....

    and if the Tories get in, who knows!
    For what I've done...I start again...And whatever pain may come ...Today this ends... I'm forgiving what I've done -AF since June 2007
  • always have a tracker, and know where you are at all times.
    get a fixed rate at your peril, keep your mortgage simple or you could and up in a fix just when you dont need it.
    ignore the sales gimmicks
  • ajaxgeezer
    ajaxgeezer Posts: 2,476 Forumite
    always have a tracker, and know where you are at all times.
    get a fixed rate at your peril, keep your mortgage simple or you could and up in a fix just when you dont need it.
    ignore the sales gimmicks

    .......what??? And how on earth do you know where you are with a tracker in comparison to a fix? A tracker is a gamble, a fix is sticking with the cards you know.
  • always have a tracker, and know where you are at all times.
    get a fixed rate at your peril, keep your mortgage simple or you could and up in a fix just when you dont need it.
    ignore the sales gimmicks


    What?????????????????? Surely they've got this the wrong way around.
  • dunstonh
    dunstonh Posts: 120,309 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    Only one way the rates are going long term and that it up. If there wasnt the credit crunch interest rates would be about 2% higher than they are now. Once the credit crunch has resolved somewhat expect rates to start to ease upwards and possibly be there for some time
    I am an Independent Financial Adviser (IFA). The comments I make are just my opinion and are for discussion purposes only. They are not financial advice and you should not treat them as such. If you feel an area discussed may be relevant to you, then please seek advice from an Independent Financial Adviser local to you.
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