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Debate House Prices


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Moneyweek: Why this housing crash could be worse than the 1990s

http://www.moneyweek.com/file/44840/why-this-housing-crash-could-be-worse-than-the-1990s.html
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Along with France and the Netherlands, the IMF believes Britain has one of the world’s most precarious property markets. It calculates that at least 30% of the value of homes cannot be explained by fundamentals such as demand or rising incomes, reports The Times.
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[FONT=Verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Of course, this has been obvious to anyone with any sense and has been for a long time. High house prices aren’t about supply and demand, or rising incomes – they’ve been all about availability of credit for years now. And that’s vanishing rapidly, even for wealthy buyers. C&G now demands a £200,000 deposit if you want to borrow £1m, double what it was at the start of this week. So much for the unassailable London market.[/FONT]
..

[FONT=Verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]This is what happens in a credit crunch. Debts that people believed they’d never have to pay off suddenly crystallise, as refinancing becomes impossible. And for many people, those debts simply won’t be affordable. Particularly as the businesses employing them are facing the same problems, and are unlikely to be able to increase wages to compensate, even if they wanted to.


It's not really looking too great out there is it? I don't like to be posting an endless string of doom-laden articles but hopefully an MSEer reading these forums can get exposure to something they might not otherwise have seen.

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--
Every pound less borrowed (to buy a house) is more than two pounds less to repay and more than three pounds less to earn, over the course of a typical mortgage.
«13456712

Comments

  • pickles110564
    pickles110564 Posts: 2,374 Forumite
    !!!!!!? wrote: »
    http://www.moneyweek.com/file/44840/why-this-housing-crash-could-be-worse-than-the-1990s.html

    [FONT=Verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] High house prices aren’t about supply and demand, or rising incomes – they’ve been all about availability of credit for years now. [/FONT]
    [FONT=Verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif][/FONT]
    Very simple statement, what about the fact that people will pay more for better quality property on the better side of town.
    Our last two that we have sold were to cash buyers who still kept their other homes.
  • pickles110564
    pickles110564 Posts: 2,374 Forumite
    dolcevita wrote: »
    And of course this has nothing to do with the availability of credit because the buyers had saved up the cash to buy another house.


    yeah right
    Maybe because they are not like the youth of today who want everything before they have saved to afford, like their 50inch plasma's , designer clothes etc.
  • leftieM
    leftieM Posts: 2,181 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture Combo Breaker
    Maybe because they are not like the youth of today who want everything before they have saved to afford, like their 50inch plasma's , designer clothes etc.

    It's not just the 'youth of today' who shoved everything on the credit cards/ mortgage. Everyone did it!
    Stercus accidit
  • HenryWeston
    HenryWeston Posts: 198 Forumite
    Maybe because they are not like the youth of today who want everything before they have saved to afford, like their 50inch plasma's , designer clothes etc.

    You really haven't got a clue have you!
  • Mad?
    Mad? Posts: 4 Newbie
    You really haven't got a clue have you!

    Indeed. Some people live in their own little fantasy world
  • Sapphire
    Sapphire Posts: 4,269 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Debt-free and Proud!
    leftieM wrote: »
    It's not just the 'youth of today' who shoved everything on the credit cards/ mortgage. Everyone did it!

    No - not everyone. I know at least several people who were prudent and didn't, and consequently are in a far better position today than all those who have accumulated very risky debts.
  • Kez100
    Kez100 Posts: 2,236 Forumite
    leftieM wrote: »
    It's not just the 'youth of today' who shoved everything on the credit cards/ mortgage. Everyone did it!

    We didn't. We used the low interest period to overpay our mortgage. OK, so we still watch a 32" CRT TV, but we watch it happier in the knowledge we have 15% LTV (probably soon to be 30%!)
  • HenryWeston
    HenryWeston Posts: 198 Forumite
    Kez100 wrote: »
    We didn't. We used the low interest period to overpay our mortgage. OK, so we still watch a 32" CRT TV, but we watch it happier in the knowledge we have 15% LTV (probably soon to be 30%!)

    How do you cope:rolleyes: seriously though is there really much of a difference in picture quality when you are sat 10ft away watching it, i dont think so.
  • Our house has just been valued 20k lower that last year, also we remortgaged and now the value is lower than the mortgage... we need to sell up and with the 10k redemption were well below the price. Any idea's...
  • WTF?_2
    WTF?_2 Posts: 4,592 Forumite
    Smeggie wrote: »
    Our house has just been valued 20k lower that last year, also we remortgaged and now the value is lower than the mortgage... we need to sell up and with the 10k redemption were well below the price. Any idea's...

    You don't really have a lot of options unfortunately - you're caught in the negative equity trap.

    Your best bet is to sit tight and make sure you pay your mortgage.

    Otherwise you'll have to save enough cash to make the shortfall between sale price and mortgage debt if you want to sell and move.

    In any case you should start economising immediately. Cut out all unnecessary expenses and save, save , save.
    --
    Every pound less borrowed (to buy a house) is more than two pounds less to repay and more than three pounds less to earn, over the course of a typical mortgage.
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