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Do I hold onto USD or convert them know into GBP before it drops further?

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I am holding 35k in USD in my bank account. I am concerned the rate against GBP is again going to continue to fall. Do I take the hit now or will the rate come about in the next 6 months.
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  • Hoenir
    Hoenir Posts: 7,593 Forumite
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    That's the uncertainty that comes with speculatating in currencies. Toss a coin. 
  • eskbanker
    eskbanker Posts: 36,944 Forumite
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    Hoenir said:
    That's the uncertainty that comes with speculatating in currencies. Toss a coin
    But should it be a 50p or a quarter....? ;)
  • wmb194
    wmb194 Posts: 4,879 Forumite
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    1098s said:
    I am holding 35k in USD in my bank account. I am concerned the rate against GBP is again going to continue to fall. Do I take the hit now or will the rate come about in the next 6 months.
    Do you need the money in sterling soon? The other day someone on Bloomberg said they think that sterling is far too strong at c.1.34 GBP/USD and it should weaken but FX forecasting is notoriously difficult.
  • dunstonh
    dunstonh Posts: 119,599 Forumite
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    wmb194 said:
    1098s said:
    I am holding 35k in USD in my bank account. I am concerned the rate against GBP is again going to continue to fall. Do I take the hit now or will the rate come about in the next 6 months.
    Do you need the money in sterling soon? The other day someone on Bloomberg said they think that sterling is far too strong at c.1.34 GBP/USD and it should weaken but FX forecasting is notoriously difficult.
    Some also suggest that it will continue to go to 1.50 or even beyond.

    Predicting the unpredictable is usually futile.
    I am an Independent Financial Adviser (IFA). The comments I make are just my opinion and are for discussion purposes only. They are not financial advice and you should not treat them as such. If you feel an area discussed may be relevant to you, then please seek advice from an Independent Financial Adviser local to you.
  • Hoenir
    Hoenir Posts: 7,593 Forumite
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    edited 7 May at 5:32PM
    wmb194 said:
    1098s said:
    I am holding 35k in USD in my bank account. I am concerned the rate against GBP is again going to continue to fall. Do I take the hit now or will the rate come about in the next 6 months.
    Do you need the money in sterling soon? The other day someone on Bloomberg said they think that sterling is far too strong at c.1.34 GBP/USD and it should weaken but FX forecasting is notoriously difficult.
    If investors continue to sell US $ denominated assets then the currency will continue to weaken. Nothing to suggest that there'll be any significant change of Administration policies anytime soon.  
  • aroominyork
    aroominyork Posts: 3,295 Forumite
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    It will continue to go to 1.50 or even beyond.
  • daveyjp
    daveyjp Posts: 13,502 Forumite
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    Sell half.
  • wmb194
    wmb194 Posts: 4,879 Forumite
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    Hoenir said:
    wmb194 said:
    1098s said:
    I am holding 35k in USD in my bank account. I am concerned the rate against GBP is again going to continue to fall. Do I take the hit now or will the rate come about in the next 6 months.
    Do you need the money in sterling soon? The other day someone on Bloomberg said they think that sterling is far too strong at c.1.34 GBP/USD and it should weaken but FX forecasting is notoriously difficult.
    If investors continue to sell US $ denominated assets then the currency will continue to weaken. Nothing to suggest that there'll be any significant change of Administration policies anytime soon.  
    Doesn't mean sterling strengthens. More likely the euro will.
  • MX5huggy
    MX5huggy Posts: 7,156 Forumite
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    If you had £35k of sterling spare today would you buy USD, probably not in any circumstances. Sell and do your normal action with the £35k. 
  • masonic
    masonic Posts: 27,134 Forumite
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    My prediction is that the relevant currency pairs will continue to fluctuate. Trust me on this.
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