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Where will base rate go in May?

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That's the base rate held steady at 4.50% due to global financial turmoil, actual or expected.

Are there any considered views what will happen at the next MPC meeting on 8th May?

I don't see Trump doing a U-turn on tariffs. But maybe he will be forced to.

Thoughts (without being political)?






«13

Comments

  • Albermarle
    Albermarle Posts: 27,887 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Seventh Anniversary Name Dropper
    Its not worth thinking about too much, as predicting the future is rather difficult.
    If there is a consensus, it is that there will be two further interest rate cuts this year, but that could also be wrong.
  • DRS1
    DRS1 Posts: 1,223 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    What was that song?  Down Down Deeper and Down
  • meggiemike
    meggiemike Posts: 4 Newbie
    Second Anniversary First Post
    DRS1 said:
    What was that song?  Down Down Deeper and Down
    Yes, by the Status Quo ! 😀
  • Kim_13
    Kim_13 Posts: 3,436 Forumite
    Tenth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    I think it is too early to say until we get the figures coming in for growth and employment in the new tax year. 

    I was not expecting February’s cut given that inflation was still above target, but expected one today given growth was negative. When those two factors are pulling in opposite directions, it’s very hard to predict.
  • mebu60
    mebu60 Posts: 1,624 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Second Anniversary Photogenic Name Dropper
    DRS1 said:
    What was that song?  Down Down Deeper and Down
    I want all the world to see
    To see you're laughing, and you're laughing at me

    I have all the ways you see
    To keep you guessing, stop your messing with me

    Could've been written for the BoE! 
  • subjecttocontract
    subjecttocontract Posts: 2,738 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Ukraine, Russia, Gaza, US Tariffs, World turmoil etc......the only way is up......can't say more without being political.
  • slinger2
    slinger2 Posts: 997 Forumite
    500 Posts First Anniversary Name Dropper
    With the uk economic growth looking so lacklustre, I'm thinking there's a pretty high chance of a rate cut.
  • ranciduk
    ranciduk Posts: 728 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 500 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    One expert today expects just one more cut this year

    probably in August 
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