TN25 vs other shorter term gilts - different

Guys, I hold a few short term Gilts, which I intend to hold to maturity, so I know what I'm in for so to speak. What's odd is when you compare these together, see below:



This is over a 3 year horizon but over 1, 5 etc it's similar. I can see the pattern is basically the same for all minus TN25 - with the volatility being greater the further out the gilt's maturity date is - hence TG31 being the most volatile.

TN25 seems to be far less volatile, I'm just curious why?

Doesn't really make any difference to me, as I say, I hold all minus 31 anyway, just curious really!

Comments

  • Hoenir
    Hoenir Posts: 6,795 Forumite
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    Closer to maturity the lower the reaction to noise. 
  • EthicsGradient
    EthicsGradient Posts: 1,217 Forumite
    Sixth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 11 July 2024 at 2:05PM
    If you look at a graph of yield to maturity, rather than the market price, you'll see the TN25 yield varies in much the same way as the others - 3rd one down here has TN25, TN28 and TG31: Gilt Yields - Charts (yieldgimp.com)
    (and note that your graph, which looks like the ii one, is not "3 year", but starting from 10 July 2023. The yieldgimp graph only goes a little further back, to 19th May 2023. )
  • masonic
    masonic Posts: 26,627 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 11 July 2024 at 4:38PM
    Congratulations, you have rediscovered duration risk.
  • ChilliBob
    ChilliBob Posts: 2,296 Forumite
    Fifth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    masonic said:
    Congratulations, you have rediscovered duration risk.
    Cool? Can I have a sticker please?

    Joking aside, yeah, that makes sense. I think probably the issue is the graph, as pointed above it isn't a 3 year horizon at all - despite that being selected in IIs drop down! Should have paid more attention.

    Either way it all makes sense now :) 
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