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A bumpy three years or not - is any positive return a bonus ?

segovia
segovia Posts: 382 Forumite
Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Combo Breaker
edited 16 May 2023 at 5:01PM in Savings & investments
In late 2019 I dipped my toe into the water and opened a SIPP with AJ Bell with a £30,000.00 investment and made some regular contributions along the way. 

That £30,000.00 is now worth £38,438.00 a return of 28%, overall my SIPP portfolio has a % return of 13%.

Considering, we have had COVID, the invasion of Ukraine, Inflation and global economic uncertainty, should I be disappointed or pleased with an overall 13% return?

J
  
«1

Comments

  • jimjames
    jimjames Posts: 19,264 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Depends what you invested in. A SIPP is a wrapper not an investment so it's what you bought with your £30k that determines good or bad
    Remember the saying: if it looks too good to be true it almost certainly is.
  • segovia
    segovia Posts: 382 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Combo Breaker
    jimjames said:
    Depends what you invested in. A SIPP is a wrapper not an investment so it's what you bought with your £30k that determines good or bad

    A low cost Global ETF

  • eskbanker
    eskbanker Posts: 40,707 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    edited 16 May 2023 at 5:26PM
    28% since late 2019 works out at about 7% annual growth, pretty much all of which will have been achieved in the first two years, so a reasonable return rather than spectacular, but outperforming inflation averaging about 4.5% over that timeframe....

    What are/were your objectives when choosing what to invest in, and over what sort of timescale?

    Edit: conversion to annualised returns will generally be more meaningful - if your 13% figure comes simply from comparing current balance with total paid in then that's not a particularly useful figure if some of that money has only been invested for days or weeks, with other contributions dating back multiple years, so weighting the return will typically give a more realistic picture.
  • segovia said:
    should I be disappointed or pleased with an overall 13% return?
      
    Take your pick.

    On the plus side you have a positive return.
    On the downside that's still under inflation over the last 2.5 years. 
    On the plus side, that's still above what you could get in cash, or in a hedged tracker or poorly performing active funds.
    On the downside, it's not as good as if you had the same funds accumulating pretty much anywhere between 2010-2020 or in some wildly successful stock pick or active fund.




  • InvesterJones
    InvesterJones Posts: 1,649 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Fourth Anniversary Name Dropper
    Global trackers are up about 55% total return since late 2019, or around 43% by price alone.

    Is the 13% an annualised figure?
  • Millyonare
    Millyonare Posts: 554 Forumite
    500 Posts Third Anniversary
    The S&P500 (hedged) has returned roughly +30% since Q4 2019.

    Ergo, +13% is a below-average return, somewhat disappointing.
  • Prism
    Prism Posts: 3,861 Forumite
    Eighth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Global trackers are up about 55% total return since late 2019, or around 43% by price alone.

    Is the 13% an annualised figure?
    The Vanguard FTSE all world ETF is up by around 30%. Better than 13% but not 55%
  • Prism
    Prism Posts: 3,861 Forumite
    Eighth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    That 28% is just about right for a global ETF since 2019. Unsure what is in the rest of the SIPP but if there are any bonds then that might explain the 13%. Still, a decent return considering.
  • segovia
    segovia Posts: 382 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Combo Breaker
    No bonds, I think it's timing of my deposits. For example, if I paid in 30K last week and I had and, 8000 return on my total investment of 60K my return would be 13%. That's not what I did, just an example. Recent investments/purchases will have made nothing and have the effect of reducing the overall % profit 
  • segovia
    segovia Posts: 382 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 100 Posts Combo Breaker
    Prism said:
    Global trackers are up about 55% total return since late 2019, or around 43% by price alone.

    Is the 13% an annualised figure?
    The Vanguard FTSE all world ETF is up by around 30%. Better than 13% but not 55%

    The Vanguard FTSE all world ETF on 31 Dec 2019 was 70.56, today it's 85.69, 30K invested in Dec 2019 would be worth £36,432.00 today which is 21% and the charges are more that the 0.15 I am paying at the moment.
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