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Octopus add "View my balance forecast" how accurate is yours?

Chrysalis
Chrysalis Posts: 4,817 Forumite
Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
edited 20 June 2022 at 3:07PM in Energy
My last 3 monthly bills based on actual readings are all under £80.
My winter usage is almost the same as my summer usage, they have this on my account data for previous years.

Their balance forecast estimates £220 month for summer months and £380 for winter months, oh its so broken lol.

Comments

  • Mstty
    Mstty Posts: 4,209 Forumite
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    edited 20 June 2022 at 7:56PM
    Oh hail "Kraken" the saviour of energy software being rolled out to other companies too.

    Maybe give them feedback and this will help them develop their software?
  • Chrysalis
    Chrysalis Posts: 4,817 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 20 June 2022 at 3:27PM
    My experience is Octopus dont like been told something is wrong, so I will give it a pass ;)

    (they have also already been told their annual prediction is way off for me, I assume this is the same thing, but now they breaking it down month by month).
  • QrizB
    QrizB Posts: 20,686 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Fourth Anniversary Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 20 June 2022 at 3:28PM
    Chrysalis said:
    My last 3 monthly bills based on actual readings are all under £80.
    My winter usage is almost the same as my summer usage, they have this on my account data for previous years.
    Their balance forecast estimates £220 month for summer months and £380 for winter months, oh its so broken lol.
    Ah, but they remember that you used to be using 30kWh/day ...
    (Sorry!)
    N. Hampshire, he/him. Octopus Intelligent Go elec & Tracker gas / Vodafone BB / iD mobile. Ripple Kirk Hill Coop member.
    2.72kWp PV facing SSW installed Jan 2012. 11 x 247w panels, 3.6kw inverter. 34 MWh generated, long-term average 2.6 Os.
    Ofgem cap table, Ofgem cap explainer. Economy 7 cap explainer. Gas vs E7 vs peak elec heating costs, Best kettle!
  • charybdis26
    charybdis26 Posts: 51 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Given that I'm currently in credit, an imminent switch from Fixed to SVT, the anticpated but as yet unknown October price hikes, the 6 x £66.66 government top-ups to electricity bills -  I won't be paying too much heed to their suggested £2/month reduction to my DD just yet. Too much uncertainty.

    Wealth consists not in having great possessions, but in having few wants  (Epictetus)
  • Xbigman
    Xbigman Posts: 3,922 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Name Dropper Combo Breaker
    I just took a look and its not there for me. Maybe because I'm on Agile and it would be a bit meaningless. Well done Octopus for trying to add a new feature. 


    Darren
    Xbigman's guide to a happy life.

    Eat properly
    Sleep properly
    Save some money
  • QrizB
    QrizB Posts: 20,686 Forumite
    10,000 Posts Fourth Anniversary Photogenic Name Dropper
    Xbigman said:
    I just took a look and its not there for me. Maybe because I'm on Agile and it would be a bit meaningless.
    Not for me either (Go and Tracker, so equally meaningless).
    Well done Octopus for trying to add a new feature.
    Yes, if it helps illustrate the way budget DDs work it should be a good thing.


    N. Hampshire, he/him. Octopus Intelligent Go elec & Tracker gas / Vodafone BB / iD mobile. Ripple Kirk Hill Coop member.
    2.72kWp PV facing SSW installed Jan 2012. 11 x 247w panels, 3.6kw inverter. 34 MWh generated, long-term average 2.6 Os.
    Ofgem cap table, Ofgem cap explainer. Economy 7 cap explainer. Gas vs E7 vs peak elec heating costs, Best kettle!
  • Chrysalis
    Chrysalis Posts: 4,817 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 21 June 2022 at 11:12AM
    QrizB said:
    Chrysalis said:
    My last 3 monthly bills based on actual readings are all under £80.
    My winter usage is almost the same as my summer usage, they have this on my account data for previous years.
    Their balance forecast estimates £220 month for summer months and £380 for winter months, oh its so broken lol.
    Ah, but they remember that you used to be using 30kWh/day ...
    (Sorry!)

    Haha I know why its broken on my account.  Although the winter usage algorithm would still be broken as it assumes everyone uses more in winter vs the summer which doesnt apply to everyone.
  • Chrysalis
    Chrysalis Posts: 4,817 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    Xbigman said:
    I just took a look and its not there for me. Maybe because I'm on Agile and it would be a bit meaningless. Well done Octopus for trying to add a new feature. 


    Darren

    How are the agile off peak unit rates currently?
  • Alnat1
    Alnat1 Posts: 4,000 Forumite
    1,000 Posts Third Anniversary Photogenic Name Dropper
    I've got something showing on "my account" online that I hadn't noticed before, might be new.

    A box above the "refer friends" has appeared, titled Today's Octopus Tracker costs.

    Says Electricity £2.63 Gas £0.85 then a pink box "Launcher Tracker" which shows 4 slides but nothing actually launches.

    If the costs are an estimate of what I should use today they are both high, yesterday was £0.58 electric and £0.48 gas and the previous days similar amounts

    I only went on to tracker last week, maybe it's been there since and I hadn't seen it.
    Barnsley, South Yorkshire
    Solar PV 5.25kWp SW facing (14 x 375) installed Mar 22 
    Lux 3.6kw hybrid inverter and 9.6kw Pylontech batteries 
    Daikin 8kW ASHP installed Jan 25
    Octopus Cosy/Fixed Outgoing 
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