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Retirement Planner - Importance of Inflation?

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  • Stubod
    Stubod Posts: 2,619 Forumite
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    edited 6 November 2020 at 11:36AM
    Assuming you are not too fussed about leaving loads to next of kin / charity, it makes sense to me to burn through your "pot" and defer the state pension, particularly if you are a little risk averse. I think it offers around 5% increase for each year deferred?
    .."It's everybody's fault but mine...."
  • GSP
    GSP Posts: 894 Forumite
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    Stubod said:
    Assuming you are not too fussed about leaving loads to next of kin / charity, it makes sense to me to burn through your "pot" and defer the state pension, particularly if you are a little risk averse. I think it offers around 5% increase for each year deferred?
    But I suppose why defer the SP if it keeps your pot going longer?
  • Linton
    Linton Posts: 18,343 Forumite
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    GSP said:
    Stubod said:
    Assuming you are not too fussed about leaving loads to next of kin / charity, it makes sense to me to burn through your "pot" and defer the state pension, particularly if you are a little risk averse. I think it offers around 5% increase for each year deferred?
    But I suppose why defer the SP if it keeps your pot going longer?
    You dont know when you are going to die so you dont know how much you will be spending in later life.  If you are sensible you will plan for a very long life as you dont want to spend your final years in comparative poverty.   Deferring your state pension gives you some inflation guaranteed insurance against a very long life so you need to put less pot money aside for the very long term now.  This means you can spend more now without jeopardising your future.

    Or from another point of view  deferring SP shifts your expenditure from late in life by which time inflation and a possible series of poor investment returns could have changed everything to earlier when your circumstances are much clearer.   It also has the effect that when you are very old you will be less dependent on your capability to manage your investments.
  • Stubod
    Stubod Posts: 2,619 Forumite
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    But I suppose why defer the SP if it keeps your pot going longer?
    ..for me that is exactly the point. I want to spend my pot down. I do not have any index linking on my deferred DB pension, so taking money out of the "pot" which is always at risk of devaluing at some point it makes more sense (to me), to use this money and defer the SP as when you do start taking it at least it's index linked and will give a "guaranteed" income.....each to their own I guess..
    .."It's everybody's fault but mine...."
  • Sea_Shell
    Sea_Shell Posts: 10,066 Forumite
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    If you defer SP for 1 year, how long do you have to live to "break even"?
    How's it going, AKA, Nutwatch? - 12 month spends to date = 2.60% of current retirement "pot" (as at end May 2025)
  • Linton
    Linton Posts: 18,343 Forumite
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    Sea_Shell said:
    If you defer SP for 1 year, how long do you have to live to "break even"?
    Ignoring the effect of inflation (or beyond) increases, which could change the numbers significantly, defering SP breaks even after 17.2 years which is pretty close to the average lifespan.  Defering SP is insurance and like all insurance you only benefit if you need to use it.

    But the cost/benefit analysis is more complex that that.  If you die unexpectedly early you would not have benefited by not defering because your financial plan will be based on a long life, so you will just leave more money in yourpension  pot.  You could not have used it because you did not know you were going to die early.
  • pensionpawn
    pensionpawn Posts: 1,016 Forumite
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    Stubod said:
    Assuming you are not too fussed about leaving loads to next of kin / charity, it makes sense to me to burn through your "pot" and defer the state pension, particularly if you are a little risk averse. I think it offers around 5% increase for each year deferred?
    Why defer your state pension? Yes your SP will increase by around 10% each year however you will then be depleting your private pension instead. This isn't for me as my investments should (are) growing near that rate and secondly, if you croak it before you start taking your pension you've lost a chunk of money that you could have passed to your estate.
    I'd be more interested in the opposite, taking your pension earlier at a reduced rate. Also, as with annuities, taking your pension at a reduced rate from your SP age which allows for a significant percentage to be passed onto your wife / husband. 
  • garmeg
    garmeg Posts: 771 Forumite
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    edited 6 November 2020 at 4:06PM
    Stubod said:
    Assuming you are not too fussed about leaving loads to next of kin / charity, it makes sense to me to burn through your "pot" and defer the state pension, particularly if you are a little risk averse. I think it offers around 5% increase for each year deferred?
    Why defer your state pension? Yes your SP will increase by around 10% each year however you will then be depleting your private pension instead. This isn't for me as my investments should (are) growing near that rate and secondly, if you croak it before you start taking your pension you've lost a chunk of money that you could have passed to your estate.
    I'd be more interested in the opposite, taking your pension earlier at a reduced rate. Also, as with annuities, taking your pension at a reduced rate from your SP age which allows for a significant percentage to be passed onto your wife / husband. 
    It is 5.8% pa simple interest for post April 2016 state pensioners.
  • Stubod
    Stubod Posts: 2,619 Forumite
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    edited 6 November 2020 at 4:14PM
    Why defer your state pension? Yes your SP will increase by around 10% each year however you will then be depleting your private pension instead. This isn't for me as my investments should (are) growing near that rate and secondly, if you croak it before you start taking your pension you've lost a chunk of money that you could have passed to your estate.
    I'd be more interested in the opposite, taking your pension earlier at a reduced rate. Also, as with annuities, taking your pension at a reduced rate from your SP age which allows for a significant percentage to be passed onto your wife / husband. 
    I am not depleting any pension, but I am happy to swap the uncertainty of an investment "pot" for the certainty of a higher index linked state pension....each to their own..

    .."It's everybody's fault but mine...."
  • pensionpawn
    pensionpawn Posts: 1,016 Forumite
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    garmeg said:
    Stubod said:
    Assuming you are not too fussed about leaving loads to next of kin / charity, it makes sense to me to burn through your "pot" and defer the state pension, particularly if you are a little risk averse. I think it offers around 5% increase for each year deferred?
    Why defer your state pension? Yes your SP will increase by around 10% each year however you will then be depleting your private pension instead. This isn't for me as my investments should (are) growing near that rate and secondly, if you croak it before you start taking your pension you've lost a chunk of money that you could have passed to your estate.
    I'd be more interested in the opposite, taking your pension earlier at a reduced rate. Also, as with annuities, taking your pension at a reduced rate from your SP age which allows for a significant percentage to be passed onto your wife / husband. 
    It is 5.8% pa simple interest for post April 2016 state pensioners.
    In that case even less reason to defer!
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