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Best investments for a drawdown account?
Comments
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Aged said:dunstonh said:With that in mind, would it not make sense to use Inc type units rather than Acc?
It depends on your investment strategy and drawdown strategy.
Then the 'natural yield' would be clear to seeMost don't use natural yield nowadays but use total return. However, if you wish to limit your investment potential and use yield then you would use Inc units.
It might seem like an easy question but it's surprisingly tricky:“The only way you can look at the retirement problem is through probability. You can’t look at it not with probability. Everywhere you turn there are probabilities: of inflation, of market performance, or mortality. It’s true that you don’t know the range of possible outcomes for next year, let alone 40 years from now. But you try to come up with the most credible set of probabilities that you can.”
This is a good book to read around the subject
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Beyond-4-Rule-retirement-portfolios/dp/1985721643/ref=sr_1_1?=8-1
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BritishInvestor said:It might seem like an easy question but it's surprisingly tricky:
“The only way you can look at the retirement problem is through probability. You can’t look at it not with probability. Everywhere you turn there are probabilities: of inflation, of market performance, or mortality. It’s true that you don’t know the range of possible outcomes for next year, let alone 40 years from now. But you try to come up with the most credible set of probabilities that you can.”
This is a good book to read around the subject
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Beyond-4-Rule-retirement-portfolios/dp/1985721643/ref=sr_1_1?=8-1
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Aged said:BritishInvestor said:It might seem like an easy question but it's surprisingly tricky:
“The only way you can look at the retirement problem is through probability. You can’t look at it not with probability. Everywhere you turn there are probabilities: of inflation, of market performance, or mortality. It’s true that you don’t know the range of possible outcomes for next year, let alone 40 years from now. But you try to come up with the most credible set of probabilities that you can.”
This is a good book to read around the subject
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Beyond-4-Rule-retirement-portfolios/dp/1985721643/ref=sr_1_1?=8-1
Once you've read Abraham's book it would be good to have your feedback.0 -
BritishInvestor said:There is another retirement planning book due for publication by year-end which should also be useful
Once you've read Abraham's book it would be good to have your feedback.
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Aged said:AnotherJoe said:Lets say you can get 3% from Inc funds (nearly all income) and 5% from growth funds (by a combination of growth and income),Why would it be "blowing the whole thing up" to take 3% out of the latter (by selling units as well as taking the income) but it wouldnt by taking just the 3% out of the income?Why do you think an income based portfolio can't suffer from capital depletion?I dont think it would be anywhere near the level of trouble you seem to think it would be to drawdown from a portfolio not aimed at income*, and since you are worried about depleting capital, check out how much capital would have been depleted if you bought a portfolio full of high income stocks like BP, Shell, BT, Lloyds etc etc a year ago.* I do this, i draw down from a portfolio of what most would call growth stocks. Once or twice a year i sell some funds and draw down from the cash pool monthly. which also builds a little from the odd dividend or two. I'm not selling investments every month as perhaps you might imagine ?0
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AnotherJoe said:Why do you think an income based portfolio can't suffer from capital depletion?I dont think it would be anywhere near the level of trouble you seem to think it would be to drawdown from a portfolio not aimed at income*, and since you are worried about depleting capital, check out how much capital would have been depleted if you bought a portfolio full of high income stocks like BP, Shell, BT, Lloyds etc etc a year ago.* I do this, i draw down from a portfolio of what most would call growth stocks. Once or twice a year i sell some funds and draw down from the cash pool monthly. which also builds a little from the odd dividend or two. I'm not selling investments every month as perhaps you might imagine ?0
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To my simple mind, 'withdrawing the natural yield' means you withdraw income but not capital. With my existing drawdown arrangement investments are being sold on an ongoing basis to cover charges and withdrawals. It makes no sense to me.
Yielding investments tends to mean you will need a UK bias. UK large cap in particular and a number of old industries. These tend to have poor growth (as they are paying out the higher dividend rather than reinvesting it for future) and old industries tend to be lower growth.
So, you expect yielding portfolio to underperform of global diverse total return portfolio.
For example, if you had a yield portfolio with a 3.5% yield and 1.0% growth then your total return is 4.5%. If you then draw that 3.5% yield, you are left with a 1% increase. Whereas a total return portfolio may have 1.5% yield and 5% growth. If you then draw 3.5% you have a 3% increase. Your yielding portfolio hasn't sold units but its value at the end of the year is lower than the one that has sold units.
What matters is the total return. Not the number of units held.
I am an Independent Financial Adviser (IFA). The comments I make are just my opinion and are for discussion purposes only. They are not financial advice and you should not treat them as such. If you feel an area discussed may be relevant to you, then please seek advice from an Independent Financial Adviser local to you.3 -
dunstonh said:
Yielding investments tends to mean you will need a UK bias. UK large cap in particular and a number of old industries. These tend to have poor growth (as they are paying out the higher dividend rather than reinvesting it for future) and old industries tend to be lower growth.
So, you expect yielding portfolio to underperform of global diverse total return portfolio.
For example, if you had a yield portfolio with a 3.5% yield and 1.0% growth then your total return is 4.5%. If you then draw that 3.5% yield, you are left with a 1% increase. Whereas a total return portfolio may have 1.5% yield and 5% growth. If you then draw 3.5% you have a 3% increase. Your yielding portfolio hasn't sold units but its value at the end of the year is lower than the one that has sold units.
What matters is the total return. Not the number of units held.
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As Dunstonh says, a portfolio designed for yield will distort asset allocations and increase risk.
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Also some reduction in capital as you take the drawdown is normal as long as it is in a controlled and sustainable way .1
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