We’d like to remind Forumites to please avoid political debate on the Forum.
This is to keep it a safe and useful space for MoneySaving discussions. Threads that are – or become – political in nature may be removed in line with the Forum’s rules. Thank you for your understanding.
PLEASE READ BEFORE POSTING: Hello Forumites! In order to help keep the Forum a useful, safe and friendly place for our users, discussions around non-MoneySaving matters are not permitted per the Forum rules. While we understand that mentioning house prices may sometimes be relevant to a user's specific MoneySaving situation, we ask that you please avoid veering into broad, general debates about the market, the economy and politics, as these can unfortunately lead to abusive or hateful behaviour. Threads that are found to have derailed into wider discussions may be removed. Users who repeatedly disregard this may have their Forum account banned. Please also avoid posting personally identifiable information, including links to your own online property listing which may reveal your address. Thank you for your understanding.
📨 Have you signed up to the Forum's new Email Digest yet? Get a selection of trending threads sent straight to your inbox daily, weekly or monthly!
The Forum now has a brand new text editor, adding a bunch of handy features to use when creating posts. Read more in our how-to guide
How to figure out if I'm better selling my BTL and putting the money in savings, or not...
Comments
-
TBH if you're out of the property market one of the dangers is that prices may rise without you in it.
The chances of that are quite slim in London as I see it in the near term, but you can't rule it out.
I'd dedicate some cash into housebuilders, particularly London facing ones. Portals such as Rightmove. And perhaps a risky bet on a London-facing agent (Foxtons).
The housebuilders are well capitalised at the moment and that won't seem to change in the near term. Their operating margins are c.20%; it would need something spectacular to see them in trouble and even then I suspect either the government might step in with some incentives to prevent them from downsizing and sitting on the land.
They are more of a leveraged play: if house prices go down by 10%, the shares may be down 30%. But crucially if there is a boom, many of these companies will inevitably be worth more than there are today. Barratt reached almost 900p in February this year, you may be able to get them for half that price now. If the current situation proves to be a blip with no structural long-term changes then you could easily double your money there. In the case of Foxtons, maybe several times, but that is the nature of risk and reward.
So while the simplistic case is that renting = bad, the value of your pot of cash can still be tied to the fortunes of the market. Not a perfect correlation of course, but better than nothing.
0 -
I did exactly that with housebuilders the week after the Brexit vote after they had all plummeted, I did very well. not quite so sure its a similar situation now though because theres more of a structural problem unless the economy really can be restarted.
0
Confirm your email address to Create Threads and Reply
Categories
- All Categories
- 354.6K Banking & Borrowing
- 254.5K Reduce Debt & Boost Income
- 455.5K Spending & Discounts
- 247.5K Work, Benefits & Business
- 604.4K Mortgages, Homes & Bills
- 178.6K Life & Family
- 262K Travel & Transport
- 1.5M Hobbies & Leisure
- 16.1K Discuss & Feedback
- 37.7K Read-Only Boards
