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Markets at record highs and euro / dollar both strong - does this impact your investment strategy?

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  • Prism
    Prism Posts: 3,848 Forumite
    Seventh Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    I am not changing much but I have more UK smaller companies than normal in my portfolio. I started to make small changes when it looked like some sort of customs union Brexit seemed more likely than a no deal.
  • I am not nearly close to clever enough to be confident that I could predict the likely macroeconomic and political impacts on my pf over any timescale.

    What I can predict is my reaction to the historical worst case scenarios for market turbulence...and so I position myself so I can stick with the plan should another crash of a similar magnitude strike.

    It means I forgo a lot of the upside but it also means I can sleep at night when I think about the potential downsides.
  • Linton
    Linton Posts: 18,181 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Hung up my suit!
    Dealing with high equity prices and a weak £ is already part of my strategy - rebalance between equity and other assets and between geographies every year
  • Freecall
    Freecall Posts: 1,337 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Combo Breaker
    badger09 wrote: »
    Not to mention dividends :p

    Didivends are only paid by corporations registered in Knotty Ash.

    ;)
  • badger09
    badger09 Posts: 11,611 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper
    Freecall wrote: »
    Didivends are only paid by corporations registered in Knotty Ash.

    ;)

    I too had made that connection but didn't want to inflict it on others. I'll now have nightmares featuring big teeth, tickling sticks & missing shirts:mad:
  • george4064
    george4064 Posts: 2,928 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 1,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    edited 27 April 2019 at 10:04AM
    I bought my first house early this year, where I sold all my shares prior to fund as deposit.

    Earlier this month I was finally ready to dip back into the market, and did exactly that. It was interesting and fun because I had to build my S&S ISA again from scratch. Gone with 100% equity with similar regional breakdown, however for a few regions I have selected different trusts/ETFs to cover that segment. In addition I've avoided any individual shares and gone purely wihh ITs and ETFs, with the exception of two stocks 1. Amazon (which in short I think will take over the world) and another small cap payments company I'd bought into

    I know the markets aren’t exactly screaming cheap, but Im going with time in the market rather than trying to time the market.
    "If you aren’t willing to own a stock for ten years, don’t even think about owning it for ten minutes” Warren Buffett

    Save £12k in 2025 - #024 £1,450 / £15,000 (9%)
  • Alexland
    Alexland Posts: 10,183 Forumite
    Eighth Anniversary 10,000 Posts Photogenic Name Dropper
    My strategy already considered there would be times at which market valuations looked "not cheap" so while I am still at an adventurous asset allocation I am not entirely in equities right now preferring to hold back some firepower in bonds for if any buying opportunities develop. Still a perfectly appropriate ratio for my objectives but just not ultra high risk right now.
  • Thrugelmir
    Thrugelmir Posts: 89,546 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 10,000 Posts Name Dropper Photogenic
    HappyHarry wrote: »
    5 years ago, the FTSE100 was also at a 5 year record high. Since then, it's gained around 35% (inc. dividends)


    Many of the majors pay their dividends in either $ or €. The dividends have remained flat , the increase is purely down to a long term depreciation in the exchange rate rate.
  • bostonerimus
    bostonerimus Posts: 5,617 Forumite
    Sixth Anniversary 1,000 Posts Name Dropper
    The valuation of the markets does not interest me. I started investing at a market high back in 1987 and I'm glad I did because it's allowed me to become financially independent and retire at age 52. I still put money into a simple cap weighted global equity index and domestic bond portfolio like I did 30 years ago and I imagine I'll be doing the same 30 years from now.
    “So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.”
  • arnoldy
    arnoldy Posts: 505 Forumite
    Part of the Furniture 500 Posts Name Dropper
    I sold down many of my US and European shares in 2017/8 due to the weakness of GBP. I brought a lot of UK shares Oct-Dec 2018 (At that time I was fully invested using dividends and proceeds from overseas shares). This has been OK for me so far. I will be buying especially US shares asap but am happy to wait 1-2 years so I don't expose myself to currency risk of GBP appreciating. At the moment I have more cash from uninvested dividends & new money. I'm adopting a more cautious drip feed approach with All Share recovered somewhat. I mainly have a diversified portfolio of shares. Not overly keen on paying some one 1-2% (OCF plus other charges) to hold Shell, Unilever etc, hence don't use funds much. The advantage of a private investor is they can buy small packages of shares on dips, quickly, so they can get good prices. Big funds can never do that without moving market.
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